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Time to read THE LAST CENTURION?

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Re: Time to read THE LAST CENTURION?
Post by TFLYTSNBN   » Sat May 02, 2020 3:55 pm

TFLYTSNBN

n7axw wrote:
TFLYTSNBN wrote:https://nypost.com/2020/05/02/intelligence-report-says-china-lied-about-origin-of-coronavirus/

Don:

My response to your earlier post was undiplomatic. The apocolyptic presumptions of nuclear winter or radioactive fallout short circuit people's cognitive functions, making rational thought impossible.

We need to acknowledge that we are entering a new era of nuclear proliferation. The folks that were chanting "Bush Lied People Died" enabled North Korea to get nuclear weapons. The betrayal of Daffy Gaddafi by Obama and Clinton demonstrated to every dictatorship in the world that they can not trust the US to not destroy them if they surrender their WMD. We will inevitably have over a dozen nuclear powers within a few years and probably a score of nuclear weapons states within a decade. The US needs to fold up it's nuclear umbrella and come home. Modernization of our nuclear deterrent plus missile defenses plus robust, shelter in place, civil defense combined with neo-isolationism are America's best, grand strategy for survival.


I wasn't offended by your response, merely pointing out that I certainly am not all knowing on every subject and usually try to acknowledge that.

Also, my biases tilt left. I do self identify liberal, after all. But I do try to think hard about stuff. I don't want any ideology --left or right-- turning my brain to mush.

The problem with your last sentence is that I don't believe that any form of isolationism would serve us well. I fear that it would hasten the oncoming of a major conflagration into which we would invariably be sucked whether we wanted to or not. Best to continue our present role and be smart about the conflicts we get into, limiting our involvement to protecting our allies and defending our interests. Otherwise we need a heavier role for diplomacy, relying on economic carrots and sticks. And if for some reason we are forced to apply force, do what Bill Clinton did...fight our wars from 30,000 feet.

The world is much smaller and more interconnected than its ever been. No way for us to escape that. Our role has been expensive, especially militarily. But the other side of that --and the payoff-- is that since ww2, we have become very wealthy as a country.

Don

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https://www.theamericanconservative.com ... o-destroy/

and the short quote:

John Quincy Adams's

Warning Against the Search for "Monsters to Destroy," 1821

And now, friends and countrymen, if the wise and learned philosophers of the elder world, the first observers of nutation and aberration, the discoverers of maddening ether and invisible planets, the inventors of Congreve rockets and Shrapnel shells, should find their hearts disposed to enquire what has America done for the benefit of mankind? Let our answer be this: America, with the same voice which spoke herself into existence as a nation, proclaimed to mankind the inextinguishable rights of human nature, and the only lawful foundations of government. America, in the assembly of nations, since her admission among them, has invariably, though often fruitlessly, held forth to them the hand of honest friendship, of equal freedom, of generous reciprocity. She has uniformly spoken among them, though often to heedless and often to disdainful ears, the language of equal liberty, of equal justice, and of equal rights. She has, in the lapse of nearly half a century, without a single exception, respected the independence of other nations while asserting and maintaining her own. She has abstained from interference in the concerns of others, even when conflict has been for principles to which she clings, as to the last vital drop that visits the heart. She has seen that probably for centuries to come, all the contests of that Aceldama the European world, will be contests of inveterate power, and emerging right. Wherever the standard of freedom and Independence has been or shall be unfurled, there will her heart, her benedictions and her prayers be. But she goes not abroad, in search of monsters to destroy. She is the well-wisher to the freedom and independence of all. She is the champion and vindicator only of her own. She will commend the general cause by the countenance of her voice, and the benignant sympathy of her example. She well knows that by once enlisting under other banners than her own, were they even the banners of foreign independence, she would involve herself beyond the power of extrication, in all the wars of interest and intrigue, of individual avarice, envy, and ambition, which assume the colors and usurp the standard of freedom. The fundamental maxims of her policy would insensibly change from liberty to force.... She might become the dictatress of the world. She would be no longer the ruler of her own spirit....

[America's] glory is not dominion, but liberty. Her march is the march of the mind. She has a spear and a shield: but the motto upon her shield is, Freedom, Independence, Peace. This has been her Declaration: this has been, as far as her necessary intercourse with the rest of mankind would permit, her practice.

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Re: Time to read THE LAST CENTURION?
Post by n7axw   » Sat May 02, 2020 6:29 pm

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TFLYTSNBN wrote:
John Quincy Adams's

Warning Against the Search for "Monsters to Destroy," 1821

And now, friends and countrymen, if the wise and learned philosophers of the elder world, the first observers of nutation and aberration, the discoverers of maddening ether and invisible planets, the inventors of Congreve rockets and Shrapnel shells, should find their hearts disposed to enquire what has America done for the benefit of mankind? Let our answer be this: America, with the same voice which spoke herself into existence as a nation, proclaimed to mankind the inextinguishable rights of human nature, and the only lawful foundations of government. America, in the assembly of nations, since her admission among them, has invariably, though often fruitlessly, held forth to them the hand of honest friendship, of equal freedom, of generous reciprocity. She has uniformly spoken among them, though often to heedless and often to disdainful ears, the language of equal liberty, of equal justice, and of equal rights. She has, in the lapse of nearly half a century, without a single exception, respected the independence of other nations while asserting and maintaining her own. She has abstained from interference in the concerns of others, even when conflict has been for principles to which she clings, as to the last vital drop that visits the heart. She has seen that probably for centuries to come, all the contests of that Aceldama the European world, will be contests of inveterate power, and emerging right. Wherever the standard of freedom and Independence has been or shall be unfurled, there will her heart, her benedictions and her prayers be. But she goes not abroad, in search of monsters to destroy. She is the well-wisher to the freedom and independence of all. She is the champion and vindicator only of her own. She will commend the general cause by the countenance of her voice, and the benignant sympathy of her example. She well knows that by once enlisting under other banners than her own, were they even the banners of foreign independence, she would involve herself beyond the power of extrication, in all the wars of interest and intrigue, of individual avarice, envy, and ambition, which assume the colors and usurp the standard of freedom. The fundamental maxims of her policy would insensibly change from liberty to force.... She might become the dictatress of the world. She would be no longer the ruler of her own spirit....

[America's] glory is not dominion, but liberty. Her march is the march of the mind. She has a spear and a shield: but the motto upon her shield is, Freedom, Independence, Peace. This has been her Declaration: this has been, as far as her necessary intercourse with the rest of mankind would permit, her practice.

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Return to Documents Relating to American Foreign Policy Before 1898


That is as wonderful statement. The question we have always wrestled with throughout our history --history and theology are my primary interests-- is how these principles are best implemented in the practical reality we confront. That last phrase says it all: "this has been, as far as her necessary intercourse with the rest of mankind would permit, her practice."

That is always the question. None of the answers we have tried have have been completely satisfactory. I would hope and expect that the search will continue.

Don

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When any group seeks political power in God's name, both religion and politics are instantly corrupted.
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Re: Time to read THE LAST CENTURION?
Post by Daryl   » Sun May 03, 2020 7:30 am

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Don, great sentiment but reality intrudes.
My country (Australia) has long be an ally of the US, in many cases the first to turn up for any military adventure the US embarks on.
However we are realists, and there has been public discussion on a hypothetical situation. If it turned out that a new element (Unobtainium?) was found that would both enhance the US military's power and the US economy, and if Australia was the only place it was to be found, and if we said no we won't supply it to the US. Then, ally or not, like so many other countries we would find ourselves being liberated from our tyrannical government by the benevolent US military.
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Re: Time to read THE LAST CENTURION?
Post by n7axw   » Sun May 03, 2020 10:49 am

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Daryl wrote:Don, great sentiment but reality intrudes.
My country (Australia) has long be an ally of the US, in many cases the first to turn up for any military adventure the US embarks on.
However we are realists, and there has been public discussion on a hypothetical situation. If it turned out that a new element (Unobtainium?) was found that would both enhance the US military's power and the US economy, and if Australia was the only place it was to be found, and if we said no we won't supply it to the US. Then, ally or not, like so many other countries we would find ourselves being liberated from our tyrannical government by the benevolent US military.


Well, think of of our wars since 1900...

Sponsor rebellion in Panama to acquire ground for Panama Canal.... That fits your scenario.

Ww1-- pissed over sinking of Lusitania, unrestricted submarine warfare, Zimmerman affair, public affinity w. Allies, probably desire of business interests to enhance trade. Doesn't really fit...

Ww2-- Japanese, German aggression and recognition, especially by Roosevelt, that we weren't going to be able to stay out of it no matter what we did, affinity with allies, shared values. Doesn't really fit...

Korea-- application of Truman doctrine for containing Communism. Doesn't fit.

Vietnam-- final application of Truman doctrine. Massive screwup. Nothing really there for us even if we won. Doesn't fit.

Gulf 1-- for oil or at least stabilization of world oil markets. There is a case for that one fitting your scenario.

Balkan police action. Clinton's war from 30,000 feet. Presumably done to prevent genocide of Bosnians. Doesn't fit.

Afghanistan-- understandable reaction to 9/11. Massive screwup. Doesn't fit.

Gulf 2 or Iraq ??W's revenge against Saddam for attempted assassination of Poppy Bush?? No resources at stake. Another massive screwup. Doesn't fit.

So I would say to your thought is if unobtainium is a matter of our national or economic survival, you would probably be well advised to sell it to us. Truthfully, no country would act differently. I'm not claiming we're saints.

Don

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When any group seeks political power in God's name, both religion and politics are instantly corrupted.
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Re: Time to read THE LAST CENTURION?
Post by doug941   » Sun May 03, 2020 1:30 pm

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Posts: 228
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n7axw wrote:
Daryl wrote:Don, great sentiment but reality intrudes.
My country (Australia) has long be an ally of the US, in many cases the first to turn up for any military adventure the US embarks on.
However we are realists, and there has been public discussion on a hypothetical situation. If it turned out that a new element (Unobtainium?) was found that would both enhance the US military's power and the US economy, and if Australia was the only place it was to be found, and if we said no we won't supply it to the US. Then, ally or not, like so many other countries we would find ourselves being liberated from our tyrannical government by the benevolent US military.


Well, think of of our wars since 1900...

Sponsor rebellion in Panama to acquire ground for Panama Canal.... That fits your scenario.

Ww1-- pissed over sinking of Lusitania, unrestricted submarine warfare, Zimmerman affair, public affinity w. Allies, probably desire of business interests to enhance trade. Doesn't really fit...

Ww2-- Japanese, German aggression and recognition, especially by Roosevelt, that we weren't going to be able to stay out of it no matter what we did, affinity with allies, shared values. Doesn't really fit...

Korea-- application of Truman doctrine for containing Communism. Doesn't fit.

Vietnam-- final application of Truman doctrine. Massive screwup. Nothing really there for us even if we won. Doesn't fit.

Gulf 1-- for oil or at least stabilization of world oil markets. There is a case for that one fitting your scenario.

Balkan police action. Clinton's war from 30,000 feet. Presumably done to prevent genocide of Bosnians. Doesn't fit.

Afghanistan-- understandable reaction to 9/11. Massive screwup. Doesn't fit.

Gulf 2 or Iraq ??W's revenge against Saddam for attempted assassination of Poppy Bush?? No resources at stake. Another massive screwup. Doesn't fit.

So I would say to your thought is if unobtainium is a matter of our national or economic survival, you would probably be well advised to sell it to us. Truthfully, no country would act differently. I'm not claiming we're saints.

Don

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Two points. Both the Japanese and Germans were in combat with US forces BEFORE Pearl Harbor. The Japanese bombed and sank 1 US naval vessel and 3 US flagged merchant vessels on Dec 12 1937. There were at least 4 US/German battles fought during the spring, summer & fall of 1941 between US destroyers and U-boats with 1 destroyer being sunk. The US vessels being Niblack, Greer, Kearny and Reuben James.

In regards to Kuwait. Remember that the US and Kuwait had an informal alliance that dated back to the so-called "Tanker War." When Saddam tried his B.S. claim of reclaiming Iraq's lost 19th province, he was on shaky ground.
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Re: Time to read THE LAST CENTURION?
Post by n7axw   » Sun May 03, 2020 6:07 pm

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Daryl, to you last post, my response is yep. That is how it was. I've often wondered if one less spoken motive is that Pappy Bush simply didn't want Iraq adding Kuwait's oil to its own. That is not to deny the presence of more altruistic motives. But I doubt that they were entirely altruistic.

With reference to ww2, it seems that Roosevelt was doing his best to provoke both Germany and Japan into doing something stupid. No criticism from here, mind you. It was something that needed doing. But I think that's how it was...

Don

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When any group seeks political power in God's name, both religion and politics are instantly corrupted.
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Re: Time to read THE LAST CENTURION?
Post by Annachie   » Sun May 03, 2020 7:13 pm

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WW1 and WW2 don't really fit the type that is being discussed. USA started neither of them, and essentially got dragged in.
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Re: Time to read THE LAST CENTURION?
Post by n7axw   » Mon May 04, 2020 2:24 am

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Annachie wrote:WW1 and WW2 don't really fit the type that is being discussed. USA started neither of them, and essentially got dragged in.


No, we didn't start them. But at that time, Roosevelt was facing a deep seated isolationism at home. In the Pacific, he dealt with that by crowding Japan on China and then cutting off exports of oil and Iron to Japan, forcing the Japanese to try to seize these assets in Indo China. That led Japan to believe that since war with USA was inevitable anyway, they just as well deliver the first punch. That angered America and broke the isolationism which was what Roosevelt needed.

Similar thing happened in Atlantic. Roosevelt gave the British those old destroyers, arranged for lend lease, and extended and intensified US Navy participation in those convoys supplying Britian which was most unneutal of us, irritating Germany. Hitler then declared war on us on December 11, relieving Roosevelt of the need to justify his Germany first policy. So courtesy of Germany and Japan, American isolationism was broken, untying Roosevelt's hands to do what needed to be done.

I've read that Hitler believed that Pearl Harbor would focus America's attention in the Pacific, leaving Germany with a free hand in the Atlantic. It didn't occur to him that we would be able to do both at the same time.

Don

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When any group seeks political power in God's name, both religion and politics are instantly corrupted.
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Re: Time to read THE LAST CENTURION?
Post by doug941   » Mon May 04, 2020 3:56 am

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n7axw wrote:
Annachie wrote:WW1 and WW2 don't really fit the type that is being discussed. USA started neither of them, and essentially got dragged in.


No, we didn't start them. But at that time, Roosevelt was facing a deep seated isolationism at home. In the Pacific, he dealt with that by crowding Japan on China and then cutting off exports of oil and Iron to Japan, forcing the Japanese to try to seize these assets in Indo China. That led Japan to believe that since war with USA was inevitable anyway, they just as well deliver the first punch. That angered America and broke the isolationism which was what Roosevelt needed.

Similar thing happened in Atlantic. Roosevelt gave the British those old destroyers, arranged for lend lease, and extended and intensified US Navy participation in those convoys supplying Britian which was most unneutal of us, irritating Germany. Hitler then declared war on us on December 11, relieving Roosevelt of the need to justify his Germany first policy. So courtesy of Germany and Japan, American isolationism was broken, untying Roosevelt's hands to do what needed to be done.

I've read that Hitler believed that Pearl Harbor would focus America's attention in the Pacific, leaving Germany with a free hand in the Atlantic. It didn't occur to him that we would be able to do both at the same time.

Don

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Do a Google search on the Vinson-Walsh Act aka the Two Ocean Navy Act. The German Admiralty KNEW they were going to have trouble fighting a naval war against the US once the then current naval construction started commissioning. An example of what the US could do was the construction of almost 150 aircraft carriers of various sizes and types before VJ-Day. Several dozen were passed to other Allied navies under Lend-Lease, the rest served in the US Navy.
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Re: Time to read THE LAST CENTURION?
Post by n7axw   » Mon May 04, 2020 11:30 am

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One thing that has always puzzled me about people who start wars is how seldom they take a studied look at the folks they are planning to pick a fight with and understand what they are dealing with.... Could we have even spelled "Sunni" and "Shia" :o before we stuck a stick in and stirred up that incredibly complex witches brew in Iraq?

Same with Germany and Japan. They didn't understand us culturally. Nor did they have a clue as to our industrial capability...

Don

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