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Honorverse ramblings and musings

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Re: Honorverse ramblings and musings
Post by cthia   » Tue Feb 17, 2015 11:16 pm

cthia
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SWM wrote:I do understand what you have been saying. And I am saying that there was absolutely no rational reason for Byng's reaction. Even if he thought the Manticorans were about to do something tricky, he had no cause to fire without warning.

That is exactly my point, SWM. Byng did not react out of some rational reason. He reacted out of an "irrational" reason caused by FEAR. Fear does not allow time for rationality!

There was no reason to blow them away; all he had to do was talk to them. What Byng did was pure and simple panic combined with hatred.


You are overlooking the 'human element.' What is at the basis of panic? Fear. Is the main ingredient of panic? Fear. Fuels it with injections of adrenaline? FEAR! What did he have to be afraid of? 1) Rumours of godawful RMN tech. 2) That the RMN have already pulled some unacceptable, unexplainable shit. 3) That they somehow, with their sorcery, have been responsible for the destruction of the space station. 4)That he could die from the same sorcery!

Consider this scenario. Someone you hate[fear] walks in the room. You tell him to sit at the table, hands folded where you can see them, and don't move. He complies. You sit on the other side of the table from him with a gun aimed at his head. Something falls off a shelf. You think, "This guy is about to do something; maybe he can move things with his mind or fire lasers from his eyes!" and you blow his brains out. How is this any different from what Byng did? Can you justify it?

But let us change that ONE word, then it'll work. Because Byng's main problem was fueled by FEAR not HATE. Hatred doesn't fuel panic. Fear does!

Now, having said that, I don't think it's any different, but emphasizes my point. Same as when ignoramuses corner Clint Eastwood and tell him "don't move. Don't twitch a finger. Move like molasses in winter-time." Because they FEAR him. And twitching will start lead flowing from that very same fear.

For Byng, the space station exploding sufficed for the twitching. It is much too easy and common to oversimplify things, disregarding the human element.

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Honorverse ramblings and musings
Post by SWM   » Tue Feb 17, 2015 11:50 pm

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Cthia, you keep changing what you are saying. It's hard to figure out what you are really looking for. It sounded at first like you wondered whether Byng had a good reason to fire. The answer is no.

Now you seem to be saying you only wondered whether he had some reason, rational or not, to fire. That seems like a silly question--of course there was a reason. Byng certainly didn't fire by accident or random choice, so by definition there was a reason. Panic, fear, hatred, anger, and insanity are all common irrational reasons that people fire weapons.

If all you were saying is that Byng had a reason (albeit a bad reason like panic or fear) to fire, then I'm not sure what your point is. It's a given--if there wasn't a reason, he wouldn't have fired. No one ever said he didn't have a reason--people said he didn't have a GOOD reason. And that is why people focused on the fact that the destroyers had no wedges, sidewalls, or weapons readied; if the destroyers had those things ready, Byng would have had a lot better reason to fire. Since they didn't have them ready, he had no good reason to fire.

I'm afraid I am confused about what your point is.
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Re: Honorverse ramblings and musings
Post by cthia   » Wed Feb 18, 2015 12:17 am

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SWM wrote:Cthia, you keep changing what you are saying. It's hard to figure out what you are really looking for. It sounded at first like you wondered whether Byng had a good reason to fire. The answer is no.

Now you seem to be saying you only wondered whether he had some reason, rational or not, to fire. That seems like a silly question--of course there was a reason. Byng certainly didn't fire by accident or random choice, so by definition there was a reason. Panic, fear, hatred, anger, and insanity are all common irrational reasons that people fire weapons.

If all you were saying is that Byng had a reason (albeit a bad reason like panic or fear) to fire, then I'm not sure what your point is. It's a given--if there wasn't a reason, he wouldn't have fired. No one ever said he didn't have a reason--people said he didn't have a GOOD reason. And that is why people focused on the fact that the destroyers had no wedges, sidewalls, or weapons readied; if the destroyers had those things ready, Byng would have had a lot better reason to fire. Since they didn't have them ready, he had no good reason to fire.

I'm afraid I am confused about what your point is.

You never took the time to assimilate that I was not saying anything in my original post. I was asking.

Asking, for my own benefit and for my own comfort.

If you reread my original post, you'd realize that my feeling didn't quite manifest itself until I read Hutch's post. That's when it fully struck me.

I said to myself, "Self. Could that be it? Could Byng have fired out of simple fear???"

BUT! I had no reason, saw no reason for Byng to be afraid of three destroyers sitting there idle. And I wondered if Byng should have had cause to FEAR three destroyers, even if it had been a fair fight involving missiles. For my own understanding and acceptance of his actions.

I wasn't trying to make a statement. I was trying to understand Byng! For my benefit. For my peace of mind!

Because in my mind FEAR can explain away shit like that. Same for police officers who FEAR that "he had a gun."

Doesn't legally dismiss culpability. But I can understand it.

And I needed to understand it! For me.

Is that not acceptable?

****** *

Panic, fear, hatred, anger, and insanity are all common irrational reasons that people fire weapons.

If all you were saying is that Byng had a reason (albeit a bad reason like panic or fear) to fire, then I'm not sure what your point is. It's a given--if there wasn't a reason, he wouldn't have fired. No one ever said he didn't have a reason--people said he didn't have a GOOD reason. And that is why people focused on the fact that the destroyers had no wedges, sidewalls, or weapons readied; if the destroyers had those things ready, Byng would have had a lot better reason to fire. Since they didn't have them ready, he had no good reason to fire.

We definitely disagree that panic and fear is irrational. EVEN if it is, if the panic is real, if the fear is real, then what it makes one do is rational unto panic.

My niece would consider it irrational that I fear spiders. But I'll fucking shoot my house up if a tarantula got loose inside. Irrational? Tell it to the tarantula!

Therefore, that is an understandable reason, for me, and a good reason as well, if indeed it was fear, that Byng fired. Note that I didn't say acceptable, or dismissible, or forgivable. Just understandable.

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Honorverse ramblings and musings
Post by cthia   » Wed Feb 18, 2015 4:22 am

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SWM wrote:
cthia wrote:Hutch's post in the "stupidity" thread reminded me of a question I'd been meaning to pose.

Byng was stupid to fire on those destroyers in their state on readiness.

But would it have been smarter to fire on the destroyers with wedges and sidewalls up and energy batteries run out? May have been more decent. But smarter?

How well could those three destroyers have fared in a straight-up fight with seventeen Battlecruisers?

You make the assumption that those three destroyers would have put up their wedges and sidewalls. Byng didn't even try to communicate with the ships. Had he immediately demanded that the Manticoran ships remain powered down until someone determined what had happened, I imagine that they would have complied. Had they done otherwise, they would have been annihilated. Manticoran tech is good, but 3 Manticoran destroyers would not last more than a few seconds against Solarian battlecruisers inside graser range.

I am reading back through the posts, now that I am not so busy, to see where the misunderstanding began, because I thought it to be a simple enough question.

Right away, your first response shows that you misunderstood my question.

I'm not saying whose fault that is (could have been better phrased), but you certainly misread it.

My question is, "would it have been smart for Byng to fire with wedges and sidewalls up (as they would be if expecting a fight. As they would not have allowed themselves into beam range of 17 BCs.) Even I know they wouldn't survive at knife range of 17 BCs even if ready. Give me a little credit. But since you started it. I ran with it, because I do wonder if they may have gotten off a shot even in that situation, (that may have killed Byng) if ready.

I concede that the first part of the question may not have been clear. Actually it was a rhetorical lead-in question. I was just thinking aloud. Someone mentioned it, as I said, "A question I've been meaning to ask, not two."

But be that as it may, the second part of my question, or main question, should have made it clear.

"Stand-up fight" to me means. A fight picked, for whatever reason, when they first entered the system. Johnathan_S totally understood what I was asking and answered accordingly.

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Honorverse ramblings and musings
Post by cthia   » Wed Feb 18, 2015 4:49 am

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SWM wrote:Wait a minute, cthia, I see you've changed the question. Initially your question about how 3 Manty destroyers would fare against 17 Solly battlecruisers was in the context of what happened when Byng blew them away. In that case, as I said, the destroyers would have been destroyed within seconds even if the destroyers had their sidewalls up.

Now you are asking the question in the context of Byng threatening to destroy them as they are coming into the system. That is an entirely different question. First, under what circumstances are you suggesting that Byng would unilaterally threaten to start a war by destroying three ships peacefully entering a neutral system? After all, the Manticoran ships were carrying an ambassador to New Tuscany.

If they Manty destroyers were threatened by the Sollies before they approached the planet, I don't think they would have tried to fight. They would probably have stood off and negotiated. Negotiation was the entire reason they were sending an Ambassador in the first place.

Ah, there it is.

No!

I did not change my question! I was not asking the question in the context of what happened. What happened in context (even if sidewalls and wedges up) does not constitute a stand-up fight to me! Were they not parked in orbit?

Again, when I say stand-up fight, I mean an actual opportunity to maneuver. To use RMN tactics. To fire some missiles. Whatever! But a chance to go out Saginami style!

But I did think I was guilty of some stupidity with the initial question, because I actually wondered whether those three destroyers, IN A STAND-UP ENGAGEMENT, may have stood a chance to at least inflict enough damage on one BC, to at least kill Byng!!! Again, I didn't know the capabilities of destroyers, and wanted to.

But from other's posts, the three destroyers just may have done just that - had Murphy been in an agreeable mood.

From the beginning of the kerfuffle with the League, they continued to underestimate Manty hardware. Cruisers defeating BCs. BCs defeating SDs. All types of smaller ships winning battles the League would never have guessed! So hell, I was wondering what the destroyers were capable of if given a fair shake. I wondered that as early as my first read through!

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Honorverse ramblings and musings
Post by cthia   » Wed Feb 18, 2015 5:52 am

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Jonathan_S wrote:
cthia wrote:Hutch's post in the "stupidity" thread reminded me of a question I'd been meaning to pose.

Byng was stupid to fire on those destroyers in their state on readiness.

But would it have been smarter to fire on the destroyers with wedges and sidewalls up and energy batteries run out? May have been more decent. But smarter?

How well could those three destroyers have fared in a straight-up fight with seventeen Battlecruisers?
That's really two questions.

Yea, guilty, and it has cost me. The first part was rhetorical. As I think it smart that Byng didn't take any chance at all with Manty super weapons.
1) Obviously if you're going to fight it's better, tactically, to do so when they're completely vulnerable.
My sentiment exactly!

But there was no need to fight. At the ranges Byng was at he should have been able to directly monitor the state of the DDs' nodes - and since it takes a lot longer to bring the wedge online than it does to blow away the DDs he absolutely should have ordered them to stand down. He could always vaporize them later if they refused or showed signs of getting ready to run.
(Ok, if the DD were suicidal they could inflict more damage on the SLN units before dying; but that's the best they could hope for)


2) Now lets look at what might happen if you magically put the DDs and Byng's force in an arena, with everything the same except everyone had had full wedges, sidewalls, and point defense up and said "fight".
The 3 Rolands "were attacked without warning or challenge, without wedges and with no time to raise sidewalls, at pointblank range, by the massed energy fire of seventeen Solarian battlecruisers and eight destroyers."
At that range, IMHO, even sidewalls wouldn't save the DDs; not even momentarily - so they'd be just as dead. But if they'd known the fight was coming they'd likely have gotten off some grasers, so some of the SLN ships would be damaged as well.

More interestingly would be if the DDs were rolled behind their wedges. That would still be a very disadvantageous position for missile combat - deep, deep, inside the range of 17 BCs. For that matter the SLN BCs would presumably attempt to envelop the Rolands to prevent them from imposing the wedge against all of them.

And even with the Rolands' acceleration advantage they almost certainly couldn't prevent someone from generating angle to score an energy shot through a sidewall or stern wall.

However, until someone lines up an energy weapon shot, it'd just be missiles (admittedly a lot of missiles. And each of the 3 Rolands does have up to about twice the anti-missile active defenses of a pre-war Homer-class BC. That should let them survive for at least a couple minutes, even against the massed (but very low velocity) missile fire, and the maneuvering BCs. Those minutes should let them land some Mk16 counterfire. (Though even those missiles would be damned vulnerable since they're launching within CM range, and possibly within PDLC range!!)


Basically I'm of the opinion that given the numbers and the miniscule stand-off distance, that the Rolands are doomed no mater what. But exactly how quickly they are doomed could change based on the specific scenario.

Legions of thanks for this response. I was beginning to wonder if it was me.

****** *

Perhaps I should take this time to apologize again to all posters. When I post, MOST, of the time, I'm in the middle of loads of work. In the lab, like Abby on CSI. Often, she and I have time to, (I've seen her roller-skate, dance, play darts, groom her dogs, etc.) all sorts of things. In a lab environment we often have lots of intermittent time while twiddling our thumbs awaiting timers, lab experiments, procedures to complete, and computers to spit out answers. And in my case, paperwork. Loads of it. Can't speak for Abby because we never see it, but I am certain a few trees of paperwork goes in and out her box too. Etc. Etc. Mostly!

Initially, as in early on in my membership on the forum, that caused me much distress, as I never had proper time to spend on my posts. I failed to proof-read, many typos, and I came across a bit gruff and aggressive. Since then, I promised to tone down responses that seemed too aggressive, but were not meant to be, but were a result of wanting to contribute. But rushing! I'm still guilty of a bit of that now. Quite a bit perhaps. Mostly when I post, I am hidden. Out of respect for my boss and other colleagues that may read the forum and see me logged in.

But I am busy. Quite busy, as an engineering professional and Lab Manager of a Civil Engineering firm. Oftentimes, I am working in my lab at home. But even then I am quite busy, only domestic geography is different. Perhaps I don't have the proper time to be part of this forum, as when at home I am usually busy in my makeshift lab and or my own research or other business - fiancée, family and friends. I have 16 computers working full-time on various projects. 12 of them working on single mathematics equations that my research and paper depends! I have a young girl and her piano instructor come over Mon-Fri to use my piano. My neighbors young latch-key kids come over and busy themselves in my game room 'til their mother arrives. I allow four homeless people to come over for dinner twice a week to give my maid/cook a chance to earn her salary so she won't feel so guilty. Now she is happy and feel as though I actually need her. I do! And one of my cousins use one of my rooms for her yoga class with her friends. I am quite overwhelmed most of the time, but my only recourse is to not post. Wouldn't one of you miss me? :D

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Honorverse ramblings and musings
Post by cthia   » Wed Feb 18, 2015 5:59 am

cthia
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Jonathan_S wrote:
cthia wrote:Hutch's post in the "stupidity" thread reminded me of a question I'd been meaning to pose.

Byng was stupid to fire on those destroyers in their state on readiness.

But would it have been smarter to fire on the destroyers with wedges and sidewalls up and energy batteries run out? May have been more decent. But smarter?

How well could those three destroyers have fared in a straight-up fight with seventeen Battlecruisers?
That's really two questions.

1) Obviously if you're going to fight it's better, tactically, to do so when they're completely vulnerable. But there was no need to fight. At the ranges Byng was at he should have been able to directly monitor the state of the DDs' nodes - and since it takes a lot longer to bring the wedge online than it does to blow away the DDs he absolutely should have ordered them to stand down. He could always vaporize them later if they refused or showed signs of getting ready to run.
(Ok, if the DD were suicidal they could inflict more damage on the SLN units before dying; but that's the best they could hope for)


2) Now lets look at what might happen if you magically put the DDs and Byng's force in an arena, with everything the same except everyone had had full wedges, sidewalls, and point defense up and said "fight".
The 3 Rolands "were attacked without warning or challenge, without wedges and with no time to raise sidewalls, at pointblank range, by the massed energy fire of seventeen Solarian battlecruisers and eight destroyers."
At that range, IMHO, even sidewalls wouldn't save the DDs; not even momentarily - so they'd be just as dead. But if they'd known the fight was coming they'd likely have gotten off some grasers, so some of the SLN ships would be damaged as well.

More interestingly would be if the DDs were rolled behind their wedges. That would still be a very disadvantageous position for missile combat - deep, deep, inside the range of 17 BCs. For that matter the SLN BCs would presumably attempt to envelop the Rolands to prevent them from imposing the wedge against all of them.

And even with the Rolands' acceleration advantage they almost certainly couldn't prevent someone from generating angle to score an energy shot through a sidewall or stern wall.

However, until someone lines up an energy weapon shot, it'd just be missiles (admittedly a lot of missiles. And each of the 3 Rolands does have up to about twice the anti-missile active defenses of a pre-war Homer-class BC. That should let them survive for at least a couple minutes, even against the massed (but very low velocity) missile fire, and the maneuvering BCs. Those minutes should let them land some Mk16 counterfire. (Though even those missiles would be damned vulnerable since they're launching within CM range, and possibly within PDLC range!!)


Basically I'm of the opinion that given the numbers and the miniscule stand-off distance, that the Rolands are doomed no mater what. But exactly how quickly they are doomed could change based on the specific scenario.

n7axw wrote:If we are talking about a contest with missiles at the Roland's missile range, the Sollys get hurt badly by the Mark 16s. Move into the Sollys range, the Mark 16s still hurt the Sollys, but if they manage to pop a missile past the Roland's superior missile defenses, the Rolands get hurt, although it is questionable that the Sollys get anything through. At energy range, the Rolands are toast.

Don

Again, the type of response I was soliciting.

Thanks Don.

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Honorverse ramblings and musings
Post by SWM   » Wed Feb 18, 2015 9:03 am

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Cthia,

Apparently I did misunderstand your initial question. It is not at all obvious that the question about how the ships would fare in a standup fight was completely separate from Byng's situation, because I believe you can have a standup fight at point blank range. If both ships are prepared and fire at each other, it is a standup fight. It would be an extremely short fight, as I described, but it would be a standup fight. And you brought up exactly that situation when you talked about the possibility of Byng letting the destroyers get their defenses and weapons ready before firing. So you confused me by not making it clear initially your two questions had nothing to do with each other. I apologize for not understanding what you were looking for earlier. We apparently have different definitions of standup fight.
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Re: Honorverse ramblings and musings
Post by cthia   » Wed Feb 18, 2015 10:09 am

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SWM wrote:Cthia,

Apparently I did misunderstand your initial question. It is not at all obvious that the question about how the ships would fare in a standup fight was completely separate from Byng's situation, because I believe you can have a standup fight at point blank range. If both ships are prepared and fire at each other, it is a standup fight. It would be an extremely short fight, as I described, but it would be a standup fight. And you brought up exactly that situation when you talked about the possibility of Byng letting the destroyers get their defenses and weapons ready before firing. So you confused me by not making it clear initially your two questions had nothing to do with each other. I apologize for not understanding what you were looking for earlier. We apparently have different definitions of standup fight.

Your apology is accepted.

However!

I'm afraid that I am totally 100 % to blame for the misunderstanding. I only really meant to ask one question. I agree that it wasn't clear. I apologize to you.

But do you really think there could have been a stand-up fight at knife range, 17 BCs against 4 destroyers? Remember, in the context, the destroyers were parked in orbit. Not much chance to maneuver.

A stand-up fight? That would have been a stand-up massacre, unless of course the destroyers were at least mobile. (IMO)

17 to 4, is too much of a mismatch while pinned in a corner unable to maneuver.

As 17 men against 4 in a cage unable to maneuver. IMO

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Honorverse ramblings and musings
Post by Jonathan_S   » Wed Feb 18, 2015 2:21 pm

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cthia wrote:But be that as it may, the second part of my question, or main question, should have made it clear.

"Stand-up fight" to me means. A fight picked, for whatever reason, when they first entered the system. Johnathan_S totally understood what I was asking and answered accordingly.

To be fair (though I didn't quote from it) I had the advantage of seeing your follow-up post to SWM, which let me better understand the intent of your original post.

I rewrote my response some based on having the chance to read the intervening posts.
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