Daryl wrote:A few points on this.
As Anna says, a slow opening will allow the health systems to properly treat all of those who become ill. Meaning that possibly only 1% die, not 10%. Having 10% die is not an economic positive.
With viruses such as this, they then tend to attenuate over time. A high mortality rate isn't a good thing for the virus either. Better that you stumble around coughing on everyone and spreading it. So less deadly strains become more common.
Herd immunity isn't a binary situation. The more people who recover from the various strains, the less spread in the future.
I do support fly in his honesty, and agree that it can become a numbers game. How many die from covid, versus suicide, versus lack of other support like elective surgery, or poverty for that matter? I'll upset a couple here by pointing out that the civilised and developed countries will have less trouble with the poverty bit, due to their welfare and health nets.
Being in an at risk situation I'm less sanguine than fly about how people like me will likely die anyway from some other cause.
I'm 71. A nasty case of leukeamia that morphed into Evans Syndrome, has gone into (at present) indefinite remission. It left me with very little natural of an immune system, a heart that is healthy except that it has burnt out nerves (heart block) so I need a four way pacemaker, and overweight due to the steroids that enabled me to survive all that. So, I fit into a number of at risk categories. However apart from that I hope to live for decades yet, and continue to contribute to society. It does mean that I do have to stay secluded at the present. Normally I winter in Europe, but not now and for some time.
Best wishes and good health to you, my friend. I am healthy myself, but I am 74 and caregiver to an infirm wife. Right now I am as protective toward her as a mama bear with cubs. We all deal with what life brings our way.
Don
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