cthia wrote:10 years ago, could the RMN still have launched on the reserve and avoided Ganymede's defenses, like now?
Yes, but they wouldn't do it.
Technically, the Mk14 ERMs and even the Mk13 could have likely avoided the defences of Ganymede and inflicted serious damage to what the RMN commander would have wanted to hit. Nowhere as good as Mk23 of course, even the pre-Apollo ones, but those missiles had already been ahead of the SLN Javelins before successive iterations against the war with Haven made them even beter.
SDMs have a regular range of about 7.5 million km, which is under half a light-minute. ERMs extend that to 17 million km, which is close to a full light-minute. Jupiter's hyperlimit has a radius of 3 light-minutes. So with SDMs, even the extended range ones, the attacking force would need to travel at least 2 light-minutes into the limit, which takes an hour. That's an awfully long time, but avoiding hitting Jupiter is pretty easy, so the fleet doesn't need to decelerate after launching and can just cut a chord and exit on any vector after about another hour and still be at only 0.1 c so it can transit out of the system.
They'd also need to have brought a lot of ships to tow enough pods. It's totally feasible for them to have rolled pods from the colliers before making their alpha translation into the Jovian system, so they could have brought sufficient missiles. But firing even a quarter as many as Honor did would have strained their capabilities.
So it could be done.
But it wouldn't be done. Because as I said, that would have strained their capabilities for too little gain. With at least 250 SLN SDs in the system defending it, it would be tactically irresponsible to attack the reserve and leave an active threat at their backs.
And it would also be strategically irresponsible for the RMN to do that. At this stage, the RMN does not have enough of a technological superiority (though it's coming, Buttercup era is only 1-1½ year away) to warrant such a provocation for little gain. It does not have the numbers either. The RMN was smaller at this time and had no pod-layers. Grayson at this point had just commissioned GSNS Honor Harrigton, hull number SD-31: so they have less than three dozen SDs. Even assuming somehow magically Thomas Theisman had been in charge of the RoH military and allied with Honor, and the Andermani were around, they wouldn't have added to much: their technology was much behind that of the MA and had not yet begun researching pod-layers.
A GA at 1911 could have won against the SLN, but it would have had to fight a very different war. They'd have to actually win much narrower military victories, destroying or crippling as many SDs as it could before the SLN got its act together. They'd have had to actually seek to destroy the SLN's active force and its production centres.
So a Grand Fleet in 1911 would have fought the SLN Sol Fleet first and, after winning, it would have looted the reserve, before scuttling it. The SDs are still death traps, but bringing home those overpowered grasers and all the NSG R&D records would be quite welcome.