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Sonja Hemphill

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Re: Sonja Hemphill
Post by The E   » Tue Jun 24, 2014 9:37 am

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crewdude48 wrote:If that was the case, his hart attack would have happened when he saw the direction Pavel's sward was pointing. The fact of the matter is that if Pavel was guilty of any one count, he was obviously guilty of them all. Dimitri should have automatically assumed that his son was going to die when he saw that there was a guilty verdict. If he lived through that, he probably would have lived through them voicing what he already knew was coming. It was that plunging recognition, followed so closely by soaring hope, then dropping into deep dispair that did him in.


The same narrative would have played out with a guilty verdict for all counts. First, despair at seeing that a guilty verdict would be handed out. Then, hope that it wouldn't be a death sentence. Then, despair at seeing that it was actually a death sentence.

The point is, Young's health was sufficiently fragile that pretty much anything would have triggered a deadly heart attack (or whatever it was that hit him). The only thing that might have given him a slightly bigger chance of survival would be a "not guilty" verdict, given that that was what he was expecting and hoping for.
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Re: Sonja Hemphill
Post by namelessfly   » Tue Jun 24, 2014 10:08 am

namelessfly

I stirred up a fecal storm some time back by suggesting a heavy raiding strategy as an alternative to recruiting minor allies whose contributions were inconsequential compared to the forcesneededto defend them. Weber responded by pointing out that fixed defenses made raiding extremely difficult.

Remember that energy armament had become primary because missiles were unable to penetrate the missile defenses of a comparable force. The fixed defenses of orbital infrastructure were generally sufficient that an attack would need to get within energy range to penetrate them. As we saw at Blackbird base, the offensive missiles used by fixed defenses were superior to capital ship missiles. The missiles Haven would deploy to defend it's own infrastructure would be far superior to what it was willing to give to the Masadans.

I would expect that heavy raiding forces could overwhelm the defenses of individual systems. However; the defenses would be effective enough to inflict losses. The attrition would not have favored the RMN.

Jonathan_S wrote:
runsforcelery wrote:The point of all of the above is that Honor was a superior, pragmatic tactician who insisted (correctly) that tactical doctrine must be based upon the actual capabilities of the tonnages and weapons one has rather than on the tonnages and weapons one wishes one had. She didn't think the jeune ecole was doing that. For that matter, Hemphill probably didn't think most of the jeune ecole was doing that. Those members of it who didn't know about Gram or the work already ongoing on Ghostrider were basing their hopes on those incremental systems superiorities which were public knowledge (at least within the RMN), and that incremental superiority was insufficient to make the jeune ecole's rejection of "conventional" tactical wisdom effective. Even Hamish Alexander, who was in a better position than most to know what was happening behind the scenes, had no concept of everything that was being worked out in Gryphon orbit. Both he and Honor (and Hemphill, really) would have agreed that in the absence of Gram, victory had to be found in some development or adaptation of existing tactical thinking that took into account the increased lethality of the laserhead.
I'd nitpick that in the absence of Gram the development or adaptation might have been (at least partly) strategic; not just tactical.


I'm wondering if going to a heavy deep raiding approach might have paid off for Manticore in a hypothetical first Havenite ware that lacked pods.

Basically try to make that lack of decisive battles an asset rather than a limitation. Seek battles in places where there is unlikely to be a heavy enough force to defend the infrastructure (which can't run), and where you can turtle up and run if you do get surprised by a heavier force.

Add that to the fact that Haven has a lot more vulnerable rear areas that the Manticoran Alliance. It'll take a lot more forces to even begin to provide an equivalent level of defnese.


Of course to free up the ships to do this would essentially require Manticore to give up on advancing on Trevor's Star. At least unless or until Haven drew significant forces back to cover their rear areas.

This would be a huge change in strategy, and one that hadn't been employed before. And it does tie up a lot of valuable units in transit; totally out of contact with higher. (Not to mention the logistical demands; especially without having the use of Trevor's Star and it's wormhole). But without pods, and with only single drive missiles, its a lot harder to crush a raiding force even if you do mousetrap them with superior numbers; so the raiders should be more likely to escape a trap than Honor's ships were in Cutworm/Sanskrit.

Also, without pods Haven doesn't have a cheap (or quick building) option to defend systems against any raid that can drive off or crush a BB or below picket. They either have to deploy wallers of their own or accept the loss of one orbital infrastructure after another. And even in the height of Robspierre's dictatorship there has to be a limit to how long Haven can politically (if not economically) survive the systematic destruction of the orbital infrastructures of third tier systems.

I could certainly be wrong on that specific strategy working, but in the absence of decisive new weapons innovative strategy, not just tactics, should play a major role.
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Re: Sonja Hemphill
Post by namelessfly   » Tue Jun 24, 2014 10:37 am

namelessfly

Sonja Hemphill is the custodian of King Roger's Grand Strategic Plan!

King Roger understood that the RMN could never hope to achieve numerical parity with the RHN, even with allies.

King Roger understood that achieving victory through superior tactics and minor strategy (fleet deployment shell games) was also extremely improbable.

King Roger concluded that superior weapons technology that was revolutionary rather than evolutionary was Manticore's best hope for victory.

King Roger was assassinated, but not before he had created the advanced R&D cadre and facility that would create the weapons that would enable Manticore to win the war under his daughter's daughter's leadership.

Sonja Hemphill was the key person that managed those R&D cadre and facilities to ultimate victory.

While Queen Elizebth inherited her throne from King Roger, King Roger also bequeathed Sonja Hemphill to his daughter so that she could keep that throne.
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Re: Sonja Hemphill
Post by munroburton   » Tue Jun 24, 2014 10:57 am

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namelessfly wrote:Sonja Hemphill is the custodian of King Roger's Grand Strategic Plan!

King Roger understood that the RMN could never hope to achieve numerical parity with the RHN, even with allies.

King Roger understood that achieving victory through superior tactics and minor strategy (fleet deployment shell games) was also extremely improbable.

King Roger concluded that superior weapons technology that was revolutionary rather than evolutionary was Manticore's best hope for victory.

King Roger was assassinated, but not before he had created the advanced R&D cadre and facility that would create the weapons that would enable Manticore to win the war under his daughter's daughter's leadership.

Sonja Hemphill was the key person that managed those R&D cadre and facilities to ultimate victory.

While Queen Elizebth inherited her throne from King Roger, King Roger also bequeathed Sonja Hemphill to his daughter so that she could keep that throne.


Forgetting Jonas Adcock, are we? Hemphill was a major contributor, yes, but I reckon Jonas was far more instrumental to Roger's grand plan.
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Re: Sonja Hemphill
Post by n7axw   » Tue Jun 24, 2014 2:37 pm

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munroburton wrote:
namelessfly wrote:Sonja Hemphill is the custodian of King Roger's Grand Strategic Plan!

King Roger understood that the RMN could never hope to achieve numerical parity with the RHN, even with allies.

King Roger understood that achieving victory through superior tactics and minor strategy (fleet deployment shell games) was also extremely improbable.

King Roger concluded that superior weapons technology that was revolutionary rather than evolutionary was Manticore's best hope for victory.

King Roger was assassinated, but not before he had created the advanced R&D cadre and facility that would create the weapons that would enable Manticore to win the war under his daughter's daughter's leadership.

Sonja Hemphill was the key person that managed those R&D cadre and facilities to ultimate victory.

While Queen Elizebth inherited her throne from King Roger, King Roger also bequeathed Sonja Hemphill to his daughter so that she could keep that throne.


Forgetting Jonas Adcock, are we? Hemphill was a major contributor, yes, but I reckon Jonas was far more instrumental to Roger's grand plan.


They were both instrumental to the plan. Adcock provided the structural framework and people skills. Sonja sparked ideas. Both were needed.

Don
When any group seeks political power in God's name, both religion and politics are instantly corrupted.
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Re: Sonja Hemphill
Post by cthia   » Tue Jun 24, 2014 2:50 pm

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I find it very interesting everyone's take on this. It goes to show that one simply cannot second guess human nature. My thoughts, even though conviction of all charges carried the death penalty, and even though Georgia Sakristos probably would have been unwilling at that point to carry out Young's plans, still would have left a very angry, frightened man with immense wealth. Wealth that wasn't going to do him any good dead, that he could have used to smite his enemy even under the jaws of death. IMO. But alas, I could be wrong, because everyone's alalysis seems as likely 'spot on' as any.

Again, second guessing human nature and feelings is a copper-plated Cordelia Ransom. :D

Which brings me to Honor Harrington. Much of Honor's problems can be attributed to her failure to report Young's initial attack when it first happened, when Commander Hartley tried to drag it out of her. Why wouldn't Honor just say something? But real life supports Honor's feelings. You can never know how people will ultimately assimilate facts.

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Sonja Hemphill
Post by roseandheather   » Tue Jun 24, 2014 3:18 pm

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cthia wrote:I find it very interesting everyone's take on this. It goes to show that one simply cannot second guess human nature. My thoughts, even though conviction of all charges carried the death penalty, and even though Georgia Sakristos probably would have been unwilling at that point to carry out Young's plans, still would have left a very angry, frightened man with immense wealth. Wealth that wasn't going to do him any good dead, that he could have used to smite his enemy even under the jaws of death. IMO. But alas, I could be wrong, because everyone's alalysis seems as likely 'spot on' as any.

Again, second guessing human nature and feelings is a copper-plated Cordelia Ransom. :D

Which brings me to Honor Harrington. Much of Honor's problems can be attributed to her failure to report Young's initial attack when it first happened, when Commander Hartley tried to drag it out of her. Why wouldn't Honor just say something? But real life supports Honor's feelings. You can never know how people will ultimately assimilate facts.


DING DING DING.

Also, "copper-plated Cordelia Ransom" is my new favorite swear word and I am going to use it at every given opportunity.
~*~


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"You'll remember me when the west wind moves upon the fields of barley..."
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Re: Sonja Hemphill
Post by crewdude48   » Tue Jun 24, 2014 3:21 pm

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cthia wrote:I find it very interesting everyone's take on this. It goes to show that one simply cannot second guess human nature. My thoughts, even though conviction of all charges carried the death penalty, and even though Georgia Sakristos probably would have been unwilling at that point to carry out Young's plans, still would have left a very angry, frightened man with immense wealth. Wealth that wasn't going to do him any good dead, that he could have used to smite his enemy even under the jaws of death. IMO. But alas, I could be wrong, because everyone's alalysis seems as likely 'spot on' as any.

Again, second guessing human nature and feelings is a copper-plated Cordelia Ransom. :D

Which brings me to Honor Harrington. Much of Honor's problems can be attributed to her failure to report Young's initial attack when it first happened, when Commander Hartley tried to drag it out of her. Why wouldn't Honor just say something? But real life supports Honor's feelings. You can never know how people will ultimately assimilate facts.


Actually we don't know how much money Young would have had. My guess is not very much. He doesn't seem like the type to set up a rainy day fund, and I suspect most of the family money was linked directly to the North Hollow title. If he was convicted of the capital charges and his father had still died then and there (and I am not convinced he would have) then Young would have been unable to access any of the North Hollow money. It would have all gone with the title, to Stefen. He would have only had the money in his own personal name, and considering his personality type, he probably could not conceive of a reason he would need money outside of the title that would eventually be his.
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Re: Sonja Hemphill
Post by cthia   » Tue Jun 24, 2014 3:30 pm

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crewdude48 wrote:
cthia wrote:I find it very interesting everyone's take on this. It goes to show that one simply cannot second guess human nature. My thoughts, even though conviction of all charges carried the death penalty, and even though Georgia Sakristos probably would have been unwilling at that point to carry out Young's plans, still would have left a very angry, frightened man with immense wealth. Wealth that wasn't going to do him any good dead, that he could have used to smite his enemy even under the jaws of death. IMO. But alas, I could be wrong, because everyone's alalysis seems as likely 'spot on' as any.

Again, second guessing human nature and feelings is a copper-plated Cordelia Ransom. :D

Which brings me to Honor Harrington. Much of Honor's problems can be attributed to her failure to report Young's initial attack when it first happened, when Commander Hartley tried to drag it out of her. Why wouldn't Honor just say something? But real life supports Honor's feelings. You can never know how people will ultimately assimilate facts.


Actually we don't know how much money Young would have had. My guess is not very much. He doesn't seem like the type to set up a rainy day fund, and I suspect most of the family money was linked directly to the North Hollow title. If he was convicted of the capital charges and his father had still died then and there (and I am not convinced he would have) then Young would have been unable to access any of the North Hollow money. It would have all gone with the title, to Stefen. He would have only had the money in his own personal name, and considering his personality type, he probably could not conceive of a reason he would need money outside of the title that would eventually be his.

Good point. And I considered that. Considering the family fortune, Pavel probably was broke, however, with that kind of fortune, broke in his eyes are not the same to mere base-born humans. I would think that he had more than enough in his personal account. The family fortune injected frequent funds into his account I am certain. His father loved them so much. They were Youngs through and through. MO. It is normally how trust funds go...consider the Hiltons.

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Sonja Hemphill
Post by Weird Harold   » Tue Jun 24, 2014 3:41 pm

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crewdude48 wrote:Actually we don't know how much money Young would have had. My guess is not very much. He doesn't seem like the type to set up a rainy day fund, and I suspect most of the family money was linked directly to the North Hollow title. If he was convicted of the capital charges and his father had still died then and there (and I am not convinced he would have) then Young would have been unable to access any of the North Hollow money. It would have all gone with the title, to Stefen. He would have only had the money in his own personal name, and considering his personality type, he probably could not conceive of a reason he would need money outside of the title that would eventually be his.


I get the impression that you think he would have had the twenty to thirty years of appeals and delays a US death sentence entails. Manticore doesn't work that way; I think Pavel would have had about 90 days, while there was an automatic review by the Queen's Bench or RMN equivalent, before he faced a firing squad.
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Answers! I got lots of answers!

(Now if I could just find the right questions.)
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