SYED wrote:While the republic might not physically go after the border states, I bet they could use enough economic might to convince them all they are better off in the republic. The church will not be handing out any rich bribes or loans any time soon to them, and no one else would be looking to aid them in the coming technological and economical revolution.
You forget that the buffer that the Border States served as works both ways. It convinced the temple (at least until Clyntahn came around) that the Republic's expansion in its direction had stopped but it now serves to convince the Republic that the Temple Lands have no intention of engaging in some foreign adventure in its direction. Moreover, the next conflict does not require actual conquest or even the willing annexation of the Border States. And I don't imagine the aristocratic rulers of those states would be so eager to give up the already limited authority or their families over their small, landlocked states. So what is likely to happen is a gradual change. A quid pro quo of religious tolerance, acceptance of Charisian patents over innovations (and obviously the innovations themselves), limited social reform (like greater literacy and the abolition of serfdom and slavery) and limited political freedoms in exchange for a generous aid package, investments and business opportunities.
SYED wrote:We know harchong has had slave revolts before, what if Merlin helped the situation? Then ensured that it did not go well for the empire. I am pretty sure that most available weapons were donated to the jihad, so it would take time for them to be replaced and due to corruption that is increased.
Could Merlin start his own church conspiracy in harchong? Say convince them that the temple lands had become abolitionists, and have started an Underground Railroad. While unhappy, most harchong would be loath to oppose most actions of the church.
You know the charisian privateers. Want to bet quite a few in the future will raid the harchong coast and steal slaves? They would be then freed, and likely join to free more.
You forget that Merlin is actually worried about a slave revolt given what he knows of the history of slave revolts on Old Terra. Fomenting that sort of rebellion, whether in Harchong or Desnair, would be dangerous and could lead to many unintended consequences (something he's always worried about where assassinations are concerned). What he and the Inner Circle could do is support a liberal revolution on the mainland, even if it means supporting the Levelers (Safehold's equivalent to the radical socialists and communists of the 19th and 20th century). Merlin and Nimue could help in protecting and even advising the core leadership groups, assuming they would be willing to accept the "
Seijins" assistance (which is not a given even if the CoGA admits that they are true
Seijins and not demons. If Merlin or Nimue could insinuate themselves into their circles and council moderation, compromise and forgiveness, attempt the peaceful resistance and petitions that even the Holy Writ permits and perhaps even legal challenges before the Church Courts (outside of Harchong), it would put Duchairn in a very ticklish position of choosing between a moral position that might alienate the political leaderships of Harchong and Desnair or else choose the expedient of ignoring the petitioners and risk looking like a hypocrite and inviting Charis to actively support the revolutionaries ("if the Church won't step up to the plate, we will").
Obviously an Underground Railroad (whether literal or figurative) is something Charis could easily set up and Merlin, Nimue, Nynian and Nahrmahn would be able to get the word out for any serf or slave that a
Seijin will be waiting for them at a given date and location with ships ready to smuggle them out and away to Siddarmark or the Empire of Charis. They could be sure that any covert agents sent to capture them would fail miserably. And if the Church tries to set something like that up as some sort of sop to at least mitigate the consequences of their refusal to support a revolution, it won't be a big thing, especially since they share a border with Harchong. Also, I can easily see pressure being applied by the Harchongese on the Temple to pass decrees that require the "repatriation" of escaped serfs and slaves. Indeed, I believe Merlin reflects upon this very issue in AtSoT so the legal framework for that already exists.