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HFQ Official Snippet #9

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Re: HFQ Official Snippet #9
Post by runsforcelery   » Tue Oct 21, 2014 8:57 am

runsforcelery
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Posts: 2425
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Location: South Carolina

Aethor wrote:At the risk of sounding negative, Desnairian commerce raiders capturing a ship with M96s sounds... well, it sounds as if the level of common sense in Charisian Navy is the same (low) as in an average company nowadays, filled with managers and other assorted idiots.

Please bear in mind that this is a ship carrying the very latest tech available to ICA, tech that the enemy did not yet have a chance to see, and thus should be protected by all means, until the time it's used for the first time.

- No scuttling charges? Come on? A few barrels of gunpowder would send this ship to the bottom before Desnairians could capture it. That a number of the crew would die (or even all of them) is a moot point, since Desnairians killed them anyway, and any captured alive would suffer Question and Punishment.
Scuttling charges are a >>cheap<< way to prevent your weapons from being captured by the enemy.
(ICN, the #1 navy of Safehold, doesn't know about scuttling charges? Ok, maybe Merlin didn't think about it... but come to think of that, Merlin/Nimue was a naval officer in the Terran Federation Navy. Not likely that he never heard of the idea)

- No better escort for ships carrying the latest tech? I understand that the ICN does not have enough hulls to escort >>every<< transport properly. But it sure has enough to escort >>any specific one<< of them, and M96s would rate high enough, at least in my book, to have a double or triple the usual escort.

- In fact, why not carry them in whatever stowage space is available on serious warships? Save transports for anything that the enemy already knows of - gunpowder, shells, artillery such as was already used in battle, food, whatever.
Put those 5000 M96s on a couple of serious war galleons. No commerce raider in his sane mind is going to attack them anyway. They will go for the transports. Hell, take 1/3 to 1/2 of the shells and round shot out, if there really isn't enough space, and put crates with M96 in their place.

- Keep in mind that ICA did the complex maneuver in Siddar City just to convince Temple spies that a large chunk of ICA that just arrived is going to stay there, while they instead went elsewhere. So, they're quite capable of tricks. So... my idea with putting crates with M96 onboard warships shouldn't be that foreign to them.

- I could think of these ideas in an hour, and yet the whole set of ICN admirals could not, in all the weeks and months? No way.


I'm sorry you feel the ICN is run by idiots. Of course, you have the advantage of a little insight no one on Safehold has, don't you?

The Inner Circle was aware that the threat of commerce-raiders was growing, but the ICN's convoy tactics had been fully adequate over the last several years. You do not go around planting explosives aboard your own vessels "just in case" under those circumstances, nor do you ask your personnel to blow themselves up to prevent capture. They may choose to blow themselves up if something catastrophic happens, but that's rather a different proposition.

Look, the Desnarians have been building their privateers for a while. At the time the convoy sailed, however, they'd never adopted the "swarming" tactic they adopted against it --- certainly not in anything remotely like that strength. So what you're saying is that a navy which has successfully swept all other organized naval opposition from the seas, which has demonstrated again and again that it knows how convoy tactics work, and whose convoy escorts have succeeded against almost every attack (losses have been overwhelmingly concentrated against ships sailing alone, not in convoy) is run by idiots because it hasn't drawn up plans for its own ships to suicide just because they're carrying important cargos.

Why should they? Aside from denying the enemy the opportunity to experiment with a few thousand rifles, what would they accomplish? And what good will it do the other side to experiment with them in the dozen weeks or so they have before they get real, hands-on field experience with that those rifles can do?

Is there a single chance in hell that the Church isn't going to find out about these weapons' existence the first time they're used against it? No, there isn't. Is there a single chance in hell that they're going to be able to duplicate them in any significant numbers? No, there isn't. Is there any chance in hell that having examples of them to play with is going to allow them to envision ways in which they could be used against them which aren't already going to be demonstrated to them by BGV in the next month or so? No, there isn't. Will it break the inner circle's hearts if the bad guys are given yet another example of the reasons Charisian tech is kicking their asses on the battlefield? No, it won't. Will it be a bad thing if people like the Dohlarans (or even the Desnarians) who are already worried that ths jihad may be lost get direct, personal, hands-on confirmation that it is . . . and why? No, it won't. I'm not suggesting that the Charisians deliberately set out to hand those rifles over to the enemy. I'm simply pointing out that the "Ohmigod! What a catastrophe! thinking I seem to be seeing out of some people may be just a tad . . . excessive.

As for using galleons to ship them, please! This isn't USS Indianapolis delivering the atomic bomb to the Enola Gay. This is a bulk shipment of infantry weapons (admittedly of new and novel design) to the front for mass use against the enemy in the field, where examples are bound to be captured anyway. Efficiency of shipment is a whole hell of a lot more important than maintaining some sort of Top Secret mystery that's going to go away the moment they're used in combat anyway.

As for the vulnerability of the convoy, see my first paragraph above. The attack came as a complete surprise to the convoy commander, and the strength of the attack came as a surprise to the inner circle, and no navy has enough warships lying around to go assigning double or triple overkill to counter threats that are outside their intelligence appreciations.


"Oh, bother!" said Pooh, as Piglet came back from the dead.
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Re: HFQ Official Snippet #9
Post by n7axw   » Tue Oct 21, 2014 9:13 am

n7axw
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Posts: 5997
Joined: Wed Jan 22, 2014 8:54 pm
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runsforcelery wrote:
Aethor wrote:At the risk of sounding negative, Desnairian commerce raiders capturing a ship with M96s sounds... well, it sounds as if the level of common sense in Charisian Navy is the same (low) as in an average company nowadays, filled with managers and other assorted idiots.

Please bear in mind that this is a ship carrying the very latest tech available to ICA, tech that the enemy did not yet have a chance to see, and thus should be protected by all means, until the time it's used for the first time.

- No scuttling charges? Come on? A few barrels of gunpowder would send this ship to the bottom before Desnairians could capture it. That a number of the crew would die (or even all of them) is a moot point, since Desnairians killed them anyway, and any captured alive would suffer Question and Punishment.
Scuttling charges are a >>cheap<< way to prevent your weapons from being captured by the enemy.
(ICN, the #1 navy of Safehold, doesn't know about scuttling charges? Ok, maybe Merlin didn't think about it... but come to think of that, Merlin/Nimue was a naval officer in the Terran Federation Navy. Not likely that he never heard of the idea)

- No better escort for ships carrying the latest tech? I understand that the ICN does not have enough hulls to escort >>every<< transport properly. But it sure has enough to escort >>any specific one<< of them, and M96s would rate high enough, at least in my book, to have a double or triple the usual escort.

- In fact, why not carry them in whatever stowage space is available on serious warships? Save transports for anything that the enemy already knows of - gunpowder, shells, artillery such as was already used in battle, food, whatever.
Put those 5000 M96s on a couple of serious war galleons. No commerce raider in his sane mind is going to attack them anyway. They will go for the transports. Hell, take 1/3 to 1/2 of the shells and round shot out, if there really isn't enough space, and put crates with M96 in their place.

- Keep in mind that ICA did the complex maneuver in Siddar City just to convince Temple spies that a large chunk of ICA that just arrived is going to stay there, while they instead went elsewhere. So, they're quite capable of tricks. So... my idea with putting crates with M96 onboard warships shouldn't be that foreign to them.

- I could think of these ideas in an hour, and yet the whole set of ICN admirals could not, in all the weeks and months? No way.


I'm sorry you feel the ICN is run by idiots. Of course, you have the advantage of a little insight no one on Safehold has, don't you?

The Inner Circle was aware that the threat of commerce-raiders was growing, but the ICN's convoy tactics had been fully adequate over the last several years. You do not go around planting explosives aboard your own vessels "just in case" under those circumstances, nor do you ask your personnel to blow themselves up to prevent capture. They may choose to blow themselves up if something catastrophic happens, but that's rather a different proposition.

Look, the Desnarians have been building their privateers for a while. At the time the convoy sailed, however, they'd never adopted the "swarming" tactic they adopted against it --- certainly not in anything remotely like that strength. So what you're saying is that a navy which has successfully swept all other organized naval opposition from the seas, which has demonstrated again and again that it knows how convoy tactics work, and whose convoy escorts have succeeded against almost every attack (losses have been overwhelmingly concentrated against ships sailing alone, not in convoy) is run by idiots because it hasn't drawn up plans for its own ships to suicide just because they're carrying important cargos.

Why should they? Aside from denying the enemy the opportunity to experiment with a few thousand rifles, what would they accomplish? And what good will it do the other side to experiment with them in the dozen weeks or so they have before they get real, hands-on field experience with that those rifles can do?

Is there a single chance in hell that the Church isn't going to find out about these weapons' existence the first time they're used against it? No, there isn't. Is there a single chance in hell that they're going to be able to duplicate them in any significant numbers? No, there isn't. Is there any chance in hell that having examples of them to play with is going to allow them to envision ways in which they could be used against them which aren't already going to be demonstrated to them by BGV in the next month or so? No, there isn't. Will it break the inner circle's hearts if the bad guys are given yet another example of the reasons Charisian tech is kicking their asses on the battlefield? No, it won't. Will it be a bad thing if people like the Dohlarans (or even the Desnarians) who are already worried that ths jihad may be lost get direct, personal, hands-on confirmation that it is . . . and why? No, it won't. I'm not suggesting that the Charisians deliberately set out to hand those rifles over to the enemy. I'm simply pointing out that the "Ohmigod! What a catastrophe! thinking I seem to be seeing out of some people may be just a tad . . . excessive.

As for using galleons to ship them, please! This isn't USS Indianapolis delivering the atomic bomb to the Enola Gay. This is a bulk shipment of infantry weapons (admittedly of new and novel design) to the front for mass use against the enemy in the field, where examples are bound to be captured anyway. Efficiency of shipment is a whole hell of a lot more important than maintaining some sort of Top Secret mystery that's going to go away the moment they're used in combat anyway.

As for the vulnerability of the convoy, see my first paragraph above. The attack came as a complete surprise to the convoy commander, and the strength of the attack came as a surprise to the inner circle, and no navy has enough warships lying around to go assigning double or triple overkill to counter threats that are outside their intelligence appreciations.


Coulda, shoulda, woulda... That's always the danger of Arm chair quarter backing. I'm sure that now they know, they will come up with a way of dealing with it...

Don
When any group seeks political power in God's name, both religion and politics are instantly corrupted.
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Re: HFQ Official Snippet #9
Post by isaac_newton   » Tue Oct 21, 2014 11:16 am

isaac_newton
Rear Admiral

Posts: 1182
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Location: Brighton, UK

runsforcelery wrote:SNIP

The Inner Circle was aware that the threat of commerce-raiders was growing, but the ICN's convoy tactics had been fully adequate over the last several years. You do not go around planting explosives aboard your own vessels "just in case" under those circumstances, nor do you ask your personnel to blow themselves up to prevent capture. They may choose to blow themselves up if something catastrophic happens, but that's rather a different proposition.
SNIP.


Hi RFC - thanks again for the explanation.

I guess that I was on the 'may choose' to wing of the argument, rather than the 'high command is an idiot' wing

My suprise was just that at least one of the merchant ship crews didn't at least have a go given that:
- they would have had barrels of gunpowder on board
- that they knew with some certainty what awaited after capture.

But perhaps they did try and were overwhelmed before they could take action...
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Re: HFQ Official Snippet #9
Post by tootall   » Tue Oct 21, 2014 12:45 pm

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Posts: 349
Joined: Mon Aug 29, 2011 1:23 am

runsfor wrote


The Inner Circle was aware that the threat of commerce-raiders was growing, but the ICN's convoy tactics had been fully adequate over the last several years.


1) Like the Canal Raid-Something one gets away with the first time. There are competent folks on the other side...
2) If anyone was going to get the "new" stuff, The Desnairians are the worst choice- Given their backward manufacturing capacity, and the coming difficulties getting any of it to either the Church lands or Dolohr.
3) We now have a new successful naval commander. (as a plot point-) That makes Thrisk's life even more interesting.
4) I'm very curious as to info flow back to the GoF and how they handle conflicting reports of current and coming disasters.
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Re: HFQ Official Snippet #9
Post by biochem   » Tue Oct 21, 2014 12:51 pm

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Rear Admiral

Posts: 1372
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isaac_newton wrote:
runsforcelery wrote:SNIP

The Inner Circle was aware that the threat of commerce-raiders was growing, but the ICN's convoy tactics had been fully adequate over the last several years. You do not go around planting explosives aboard your own vessels "just in case" under those circumstances, nor do you ask your personnel to blow themselves up to prevent capture. They may choose to blow themselves up if something catastrophic happens, but that's rather a different proposition.
SNIP.


Hi RFC - thanks again for the explanation.

I guess that I was on the 'may choose' to wing of the argument, rather than the 'high command is an idiot' wing

My suprise was just that at least one of the merchant ship crews didn't at least have a go given that:
- they would have had barrels of gunpowder on board
- that they knew with some certainty what awaited after capture.

But perhaps they did try and were overwhelmed before they could take action...


Up to this point one the biggest dangers they have faced have been sabotage. So if I were the captain I'd be a lot more worried that one of my sailors is secretly on the other side than that Desnair has suddenly developed the ability to conduct EFFECTIVE commerce raids. So I would actually expect that rather than scuttling charges, that the opposite would be true, that gunpowder etc would be stored in such a way as to make it difficult to use it to scuttle a ship.
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Re: HFQ Official Snippet #9
Post by Yyzx-1   » Tue Oct 21, 2014 2:00 pm

Yyzx-1
Midshipman

Posts: 2
Joined: Tue Oct 21, 2014 1:36 pm

n7axw wrote:
Aethor wrote:At the risk of sounding negative, Desnairian commerce raiders capturing a ship with M96s sounds... well, it sounds as if the level of common sense in Charisian Navy is the same (low) as in an average company nowadays, filled with managers and other assorted idiots.

Please bear in mind that this is a ship carrying the very latest tech available to ICA, tech that the enemy did not yet have a chance to see, and thus should be protected by all means, until the time it's used for the first time.

- No scuttling charges? Come on? A few barrels of gunpowder would send this ship to the bottom before Desnairians could capture it. That a number of the crew would die (or even all of them) is a moot point, since Desnairians killed them anyway, and any captured alive would suffer Question and Punishment.
Scuttling charges are a >>cheap<< way to prevent your weapons from being captured by the enemy.
(ICN, the #1 navy of Safehold, doesn't know about scuttling charges? Ok, maybe Merlin didn't think about it... but come to think of that, Merlin/Nimue was a naval officer in the Terran Federation Navy. Not likely that he never heard of the idea)

- No better escort for ships carrying the latest tech? I understand that the ICN does not have enough hulls to escort >>every<< transport properly. But it sure has enough to escort >>any specific one<< of them, and M96s would rate high enough, at least in my book, to have a double or triple the usual escort.

- In fact, why not carry them in whatever stowage space is available on serious warships? Save transports for anything that the enemy already knows of - gunpowder, shells, artillery such as was already used in battle, food, whatever.
Put those 5000 M96s on a couple of serious war galleons. No commerce raider in his sane mind is going to attack them anyway. They will go for the transports. Hell, take 1/3 to 1/2 of the shells and round shot out, if there really isn't enough space, and put crates with M96 in their place.

- Keep in mind that ICA did the complex maneuver in Siddar City just to convince Temple spies that a large chunk of ICA that just arrived is going to stay there, while they instead went elsewhere. So, they're quite capable of tricks. So... my idea with putting crates with M96 onboard warships shouldn't be that foreign to them.

- I could think of these ideas in an hour, and yet the whole set of ICN admirals could not, in all the weeks and months? No way.


I think we can all agree that the ICN should have realized the possibility of something like this happening and reacting more promptly. The real test, however, will be the effectiveness of the measures being taken to prevent it from happening again.

Don


One measure would be to have some of the fresh trained troops with m96s aboard each merchant ship. This could give each ship a chance to disrupt the effectiveness of the raiders. The 96s would play havoc in any close up action, or enemy helmsmen, sailors on a open deck etc.
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Re: HFQ Official Snippet #9
Post by Yyzx-1   » Tue Oct 21, 2014 2:14 pm

Yyzx-1
Midshipman

Posts: 2
Joined: Tue Oct 21, 2014 1:36 pm

An effective countermeasure would be to have new trained troops with 96s aboard each merchant ship. They could use the new weapons to repel, disrupt, and cause havoc for the raiders.
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Re: HFQ Official Snippet #9
Post by isaac_newton   » Tue Oct 21, 2014 2:23 pm

isaac_newton
Rear Admiral

Posts: 1182
Joined: Fri Oct 18, 2013 6:37 am
Location: Brighton, UK

biochem wrote:
isaac_newton wrote:SNIP

Hi RFC - thanks again for the explanation.

I guess that I was on the 'may choose' to wing of the argument, rather than the 'high command is an idiot' wing

My suprise was just that at least one of the merchant ship crews didn't at least have a go given that:
- they would have had barrels of gunpowder on board
- that they knew with some certainty what awaited after capture.

But perhaps they did try and were overwhelmed before they could take action...


Up to this point one the biggest dangers they have faced have been sabotage. So if I were the captain I'd be a lot more worried that one of my sailors is secretly on the other side than that Desnair has suddenly developed the ability to conduct EFFECTIVE commerce raids. So I would actually expect that rather than scuttling charges, that the opposite would be true, that gunpowder etc would be stored in such a way as to make it difficult to use it to scuttle a ship.


Interesting point.

However, I was not thinking about scuttling charges at all - just the fact that there would have been barrels of gunpowder somewhere on board to supply the wolves or whatever small caliber arms they would have had. These would have been fairly accessible, & I was contemplating someone desperately scrambling down and getting some sort of flame/spark into an open barrel. I guess that would make a significant explosion?
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Re: HFQ Official Snippet #9
Post by phillies   » Tue Oct 21, 2014 2:31 pm

phillies
Admiral

Posts: 2077
Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2010 9:43 am
Location: Worcester, MA

BarryKirk wrote:It would be nice to see a snippet of the Desnarians examining the M896s. The how the heck did they do that conversation. Along with the, I've got a bad feeling about this conversation.

:lol:


"Very interesting. This weapon is obviously proscribed. Sergeant Major, take that ship's crew outside and administer to them the Question for importing heretical tools of Shan Wei into our fair village."

You captured 5000 what?

It was the finest auto-de-fe ever seen in our city.

The higher-ups may have different ideas, but pious soldiers of the faith need ask no questions before they ask.
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Re: HFQ Official Snippet #9
Post by phillies   » Tue Oct 21, 2014 2:34 pm

phillies
Admiral

Posts: 2077
Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2010 9:43 am
Location: Worcester, MA

n7axw wrote:My point was really more about precision machining than precision measuring, although you obviously enough can't have the machining without the measuring.

I was in a shop one time watching a guy re-bore a 327 Chevy to 30 thousands over. The means of measurement was right on the machine and he could set it to exactly what he wanted and we stood there and watched the head go around and around, gradually working its way down. The end result was a mirror smooth cylinder wall which with a caliper measured out at exactly 30 thousands over. The pistons were small enough so there was enough "slop" to accommodate the compression rings.

He also had a valve grinder so that when everything was put back together, the compression was exactly factory standard.

The ability to do this sort of thing is what Howsmyn has been learning and getting increasingly better at.

By way of contrast, I don't think the church can manage it. They might get close enough to use leather rings with a steam engine like early steam engines did in real time. But the result of that would be that the hp would be so low that they probably would have very limited application.

As for the possibilities of back engineering the M96, it might be possible, but it would be tough. Remember Thirsk's pet wizard commenting about reproducing the Mandrayan. This would be much worse.

Not only would they have to get the barrels of the gun effectively identical. They would have get the formula for the bronze just right. They would then have to roll it out close enough so that there was very little variation in the OD of the bullets. Then there would be the business of mass manufacturing the bullets. I doubt they would have a clue on how to manage that. They would have to duplicate the magazines to hold the bullets. And I'm sure I haven't thought of everything.

It wouldn't surprise me if in HFQ we started to see assembly lines for various sizes and different levels of complication of steam engines. That would be a real game changer, wouldn't it?

Don


For a legitimate Newcomen or Watt steam engine, the period standard of precision was that you could not fit a six-shilling piece between the cylinder and the piston. Some were, of course, better.

Astonishing the useless facts you can learn at university.
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