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The Absent Superpower

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Re: The Absent Superpower
Post by Annachie   » Sun Nov 11, 2018 5:45 pm

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As a repair base for US subs, Australia is not much more than a dry dock while they wait for repair ships.
I'm not sure we could do much to help at all.

I doubt we'd see any other countries subs.

That is part of the reason we should be designing/building our diesel subs in partnership with America and not buying european designs.
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You are so going to die. :p ~~~~ runsforcelery
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still not dead. :)
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Re: The Absent Superpower
Post by TFLYTSNBN   » Sun Nov 11, 2018 10:37 pm

TFLYTSNBN

Dilandu wrote:It's just complete strategical idiocy. Those countries play important role in USA defense system. They provide "first echelon" of defense; any enemy that wanted to challenge USA on Pacific knew, that he would need to deal with those countries first, because they tied their mutual defense & essentially their survival with USA.

Basically this strategy advocates destroying all the US forward-based defense assets & retreating up to the Hawaii and Alaska in case of any kind of conflict. It would basically made any trans-pacific campaign for USA an order of magnitude more costly, not to mention that it would lead to complete collapse of any kind of "containment" strategy against China. The USN would not be able to "contain" the PLAN, if USN would be forced to rely on Hawaii and Alaska as closest safe havens. Moreover, considering modern weaponry, it might as well means that USN would be forced to actually operate from West Coast, since Alaska and Hawaii would probably be knocked out by continuous missile attacks.
Any function that is performed at a base in Australia can be performed elsewhere. Our subs in particular can go wherever they want.


Oh, indeed. So in case of war with China, the damaged USN sub would be forced to crawl all the way across Pacific to get into drydock. Of course, since there would be no "containment" of PLAN possible, said sub would probably be hunted and killed by PLAN ASW aircraft and submarines, running loose in Pacific. Because, you see, without bases and support facilities in Australia, and bases here, the USN surface fleet would be unable to operate near China coast for any prolonged period, and thus it would be impossible to block PLAN subs from breaking into Pacific.

Why would Guam loose all use?


Because Guam didn't have any industrial resources and as forward base its completely depended on supply lines. Which NORMALLY should go from Australia... but in your "scheme", they would be stretched all across Pacific up to US West Coast.

Not to mention, that Guam is well within the range of both Chinese IRBM and long-range cruise missiles, not to mention the bomber aircraft. So the Guam would probably be under continuous missile barrage from the first minutes of war, and be of little use.

(and considering that it is a military facility, it could always be just nuked without much escalation).



Some of what you say makes sense but misses the point. The US was able to implement the strategy of "CONTAINMENT" against the Soviet Union by entering into a network of entangling alliances. The domnside of containment is that the US is obligated to defend its allies. To make this defensive commitment credible the US is compelled to garrison the ally with large numbers of US troops. (This tends piss off the local men because US troops will inevitably inseminate the local women.) These alliances are based on a presumption that the US will defend its allies even if a conflict escalates to nuclear war.

Many people in the US have now finally realized that the Cold War is over. Russia is not the USSR with a virulent Marxist ideology to export at the barrel of a gun. Russia is a competitor that can be a partner rather than an enemy as long as the US doesn't do abysmally stupid shit like incite a coup in Ukraine that empowers modern day Nazis to ethnically cleanse the Russian majority of Crimea. More importantly, Russia has half the population of the USSR and is no longer bolstered by the Warsaw pact. Barring escalation to nuclear war, Russia is not an existential threat to the US.

China remains as a potential existential threat. However; the competition is as yet more economic than military. More importantly; China's economy is enabled by the Brenton Woods free trade regime. Trump understands that China's economy and hence military potential can be restrained via trade restrictions. Trump's systematic dismantling of Brenton Woods is a FAR more effective tactic than securing bases in far away Australia.

As for Guam, the US can reverse the base realignment of the 1990s to restore it as a premier naval base with repair facilities that are vastly superior to anything in Australia. Australia can't do much beyond building yachts and Class 5 Polar Patrol vessels. Australia is buying its new submarines from South Korea. The repair facilities for these subs cannnot service US subs.

The solution to China's IRBMs is building Aegis ashore at Guam and withdrawing from the IRBM treaty, not retreating to Australia.
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Re: The Absent Superpower
Post by Dilandu   » Mon Nov 12, 2018 12:27 am

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TFLYTSNBN wrote: Australia can't do much beyond building yachts and Class 5 Polar Patrol vessels. Australia is buying its new submarines from South Korea. The repair facilities for these subs cannnot service US subs.


...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Canberra- ... opter_dock

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hobart-class_destroyer
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Oh well, if shortening the front is what the Germans crave,
Let's shorten it to very end - the length of Fuhrer's grave.

(Red Army lyrics from 1945)
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Re: The Absent Superpower
Post by Annachie   » Mon Nov 12, 2018 1:06 am

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Australia is buying its new submarines from South Korea.


Nope. Building (mostly assembling probably) a French design in Australia.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
You are so going to die. :p ~~~~ runsforcelery
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
still not dead. :)
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Re: The Absent Superpower
Post by Daryl   » Mon Nov 12, 2018 3:53 am

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Plus just finished building a class of destroyers.
There is a reason why we go European in some weapon's system. They're superior.
We can't afford nuclear armed nuclear subs. or big aircraft carriers which is what the US does better than anyone else.

Annachie wrote:
Australia is buying its new submarines from South Korea.


Nope. Building (mostly assembling probably) a French design in Australia.
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Re: The Absent Superpower
Post by Dilandu   » Mon Nov 12, 2018 4:52 am

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Daryl wrote:Plus just finished building a class of destroyers.
There is a reason why we go European in some weapon's system. They're superior.
We can't afford nuclear armed nuclear subs. or big aircraft carriers which is what the US does better than anyone else.


Exactly. Of all export customers in diesel subs area, only Europe and Russia are real competitors. Chinese diesel-electrics are still too primitive and did not have significant cost advantages to compensate, and Japanese military hardware, while quite good, is VERY costly. The average Japanese-build unit would cost at least 50% more than similar European or Russian.

So, basically, if you are NATO-affilated, and you need a sub - you go to Germany, France, Italy or Netherlands. If you are not NATO affilated, you could also go to Russia.
------------------------------

Oh well, if shortening the front is what the Germans crave,
Let's shorten it to very end - the length of Fuhrer's grave.

(Red Army lyrics from 1945)
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Re: The Absent Superpower
Post by Imaginos1892   » Mon Nov 12, 2018 10:58 am

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Daryl wrote:We can't afford nuclear armed nuclear subs.

No need for them to be nuclear-armed, but diesel-electric subs are really surface ships that can go underwater for a short time. :lol:

Has anybody considered a gas-turbine-electric sub? More efficient than piston engines. Though it too would be a surface ship. :lol:
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Re: The Absent Superpower
Post by Dilandu   » Mon Nov 12, 2018 11:46 am

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Imaginos1892 wrote:No need for them to be nuclear-armed, but diesel-electric subs are really surface ships that can go underwater for a short time. :lol:

Has anybody considered a gas-turbine-electric sub? More efficient than piston engines. Though it too would be a surface ship. :lol:


Ever heard about air-independent propulsion?
------------------------------

Oh well, if shortening the front is what the Germans crave,
Let's shorten it to very end - the length of Fuhrer's grave.

(Red Army lyrics from 1945)
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Re: The Absent Superpower
Post by smr   » Mon Nov 12, 2018 12:06 pm

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Imaginos1892 wrote:
Daryl wrote:We can't afford nuclear armed nuclear subs.

No need for them to be nuclear-armed, but diesel-electric subs are really surface ships that can go underwater for a short time. :lol:

Has anybody considered a gas-turbine-electric sub? More efficient than piston engines. Though it too would be a surface ship. :lol:


Point of order: The Swedish build some damn fine super quiet diesel subs.
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Re: The Absent Superpower
Post by Dilandu   » Mon Nov 12, 2018 12:57 pm

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smr wrote:Point of order: The Swedish build some damn fine super quiet diesel subs.


Basically everyone who build diesel subs install air-independent propulsion by now.

And Japanese just suggested alternative - the lithium-ion accumulators. Cost like hell, but provide as good results as AIP with less technical complications.

P.S. In 1980s, USSR tested another interesting concept - the diesel submarine was equipped with very small nuclear reactor in external pod. The reactor was low-power, and used thermal-electric converters, so there were no turbines and no noise. It was not able to actually move the submarine except on very low speed, but it could recharge her batteries constantly, giving her almost unlimited range.
------------------------------

Oh well, if shortening the front is what the Germans crave,
Let's shorten it to very end - the length of Fuhrer's grave.

(Red Army lyrics from 1945)
Top

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