Joat42 wrote:
Hey, I got a link too:
https://www.theguardian.com/money/2017/sep/02/economic-forecasting-flawed-science-data
Any forcasting is subject to the potential error of mindlessly extrapolating current trends to far into the future. Predictions of population growth are a classic example. Some of us remember The Club of Rome 's doomsday predictions. The UN population projections are constantly revised downward. Birth rates in Iran and other muslim countries have imploded in the 21st century. Africa and South America are only one tropical disease pandemic away from a population implosion.
Factor in the obvious risks of social unrest, civil war or regional war and the futures of the E-7 or BRICS become very uncertain. South Africa's threatened farm confiscations could cause an economic implosion.
Of course President Trump is now in a trade war with China that is intended to constrain China's economic growth and thus potential military power.
Projections of Europe's population and economic future are also subject to uncertainty. Unlikely that you folks will start procreatibg rather than fornicating. Very unlikely that continued immigration will not result in civil unrest.
They might even restart the gas chambers. .
All of this uncertainty acknowledged, it is no longer in America's best interest to continue its role as global cop. Rather than rushing off to rescue dansels in distress by slaying their dragons, Americans need to learn how to witness massive carnage in foreign lands with equalmity.
I'm stocking up on pop corn.