The E wrote:smr wrote:My view is that the Democrats get slaughtered in the next election cycle.
Trump is a singularly unpopular president. Repealing the ACA is a singularly unpopular move, and the Republicans are doing their best to let everyone know just how little they actually care for what's best for the country by sticking to both.
The Democrats won't be "getting slaughtered". Quite the opposite.
Trump is a bit of a Black Swan. There is a lot of the Trump coalition which is unique to him. And most of the Republicans have been fairly clear that they don't like him.
I don't seen huge swings in Republican to Democrat changes in the Congress (or vice versa). Most of the Republican leaning areas are already represented by a Republican, likewise with the Democratic. Most of the country is so polarized right now that it would be very hard for a Democrat to pick up a Republican seat in a Republican leaning area (and vice versa). They are a handful of congressmen which are the wrong party for the seat they hold but only a handful. And in the case of the Senate, the 2018 map favors the Republicans. I expect a slight shift. Which way it goes will be determined by events closer to the election. And don't forget local issues can be a huge factor.