n7axw wrote:The E wrote:
Regardless of what the actual number of hospitalizations will end up being in the end though, we do know that shutting down public life hard and fast can stop this bug in its tracks. Is it not preferable to endure a few weeks of hardship when the alternative is a widespread outbreak?
The question is, will it be "a few weeks"? What would prevent it from flaring up the instant we start to relax?
Don
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It will likely be longer than a few weeks. But if they can flatten the infection curve over the next couple of months or so and it follows the pattern of previous flu like viruses it will subside through the summer a bit and give breathing room for vaccine and treatment development before the next expected flareup when the next flu season starts.
Then everyone better be prepared for round 2. It was the *second* wave that really wiped people out in 1918...
*IF* it follows the ebb and flow of other flu like viruses. If it doesn't... well...