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Battle of Trevor's Star

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Re: Battle of Trevor's Star
Post by GregD   » Wed Aug 29, 2018 2:10 pm

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runsforcelery wrote:
DrakBibliophile wrote:He couldn't because to do so was to give Manticore hard evidence that Haven was behind the native up-rising.

While, he might have "imagined" that it wouldn't start the war between Haven and Manticore, he also had good reasons to believe that when he got home, he'd be in big trouble with his government.



runsforcelery wrote:Did anyone miss the fact that throughout the last third of OBS Honor was doing the worst thing she possibly could have done There she is, frantically trying to stop this much more powerful Q-ship, getting her crew slaughtered with the utmost courage and gallantry . . . and all the Peep skipper is trying to do is to get to the rendezvous to call the operation off. The problem was that she had to go with the info she had and a worst-case assumption. She did that with perfect intelligence (as in smarts) and supreme dedication and she never, ever learned that so many of her crew were killed (in real terms) for nothing. In fact, her very success is what guaranteed that the Peep task force that eventually stopped by for a "courtesy call" didn't simply turn around and go home without ever putting in an appearance.


GregD wrote:Yeah, I've always scored that as a failure by the Peep skipper. He could have called her up, and offered to hang out inside the hyper limit limit for 2 - 3 days, and then left.

This would have given Home Fleet enough time to get out there, and given hm enough time to stop the Peep fleet from showing up.

Win-Win

Except, then Honor doesn't get her launch to fame, and the book doesn't get it's needed big battle. :-)


Drak has a point about both the proof of Havenite complicity and the degree of trouble the Q-ship skipper would find himself in for handing it to the Manties (which was present in the hiss mind, I assure you). The other point is that he believed --- with a lot of reason on his side --- that ultimately, he was going to blow Fearless out of space, so the folks who were going to die if he didn't follow his mission orders were all going to be Manties.

He was all right with that.


You both appear to have missed my point, which probably makes it my fault.

I'm saying he offers to stop short of the Hyper Wall if Honor does the same. They both stay out of missile range.

In 2 - 3 days, he leaves, and Honor goes back to the planet.

The Manties have no more proof of a Peep Q ship than they had before.

But instead of "probably" stopping the Havenite fleet from showing up, he gets to definitely stop them from showing up (and making things worse for Haven).
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Re: Battle of Trevor's Star
Post by Hegemon   » Wed Aug 29, 2018 2:34 pm

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runsforcelery wrote:See the discussions on the Peep side in Flag In Exile. They started using the BBs in active operations though they knew they were not suited for them because they were more suited than any other available force.

But the BB's didn't get all destroyed. There were enough left that the pre-war RMN BC deep raid strategy was a disaster that was rapidly discontinued.


Um. That really isn't explicitly stated in the books anywhere because it isn't what happened.

The prewar RMN favored the BC because they thought in terms of commerce warfare as a substitute for the deep raid doctrine that later evolved. They intended to raid their opponents' shipping and conduct raids on orbital infrastructure using their BCs as the primary platforms for both.

Two things mitigated against that. One was, indeed, the BBs the Peeps used for rear area security, but that was definitely secondary to their thinking. The BBs didn't surprise them or their prewar planners, but the deployment pattern the Peeps adopted post coup was a bit of a surprise, because the Legislaturalists had always intended the BBs moe for internal system control than as a primary defensed against external attacks, since under their doctrine, they were the ones who were supposed to do all the attacking.

When Pierre & Co. overthrew the Legislaturalists, they pulled the BBs out of a lot of the rear area systems to concentrate them for (a) system defense and, later, for (b) offensive operations, mainly as diversionary forces, because the true PRN wallers were so desperately needed elsewhere.

This brings us to the second factor from the RMN's side, which was that (1) there weren't as many opportunities to raid Peep commerce as they'd expected, once the Peeps adopted a convoy system (with, admittedly, BB escort) and (2) they needed a lot more pickets among their alliance partners' home systems than they'd anticipated prewar. That was largely a political issue; the allies had decided they needed a lot more cover than had been agreed to prewar now that the shooting had started, and the SKM saw no option but to provide it, both as a moral obligation and because everyone on both sides was still thinking in terms of short advances with well secured bases close to the front. There is actually a point in one of the books where Honor and (I think) Mercedes are discussing the fact that in light of the operational realities of the actual war (as opposed to the prewar assumptions) many of the Alliance members were more burden than aid because of the diversion of Manty effort they represented, especially pre-Shrike. The RMN was already badly overstretched in the run up to the final Trevor's Star campaign and, then, the lead into Buttercup, and they made up a lot of the weight the pickets needed with BCs because the Peeps couldn't spare anything heavier than battleships for the raids the pickets were expected to defend against. In other words, the political requirements of coalition warfare required the diversion of forces, and the BCs were more dispensable than wallers would have been. They were, in effect, doing on the Manties' side of the line precisely what the BBs were doing on the Peeps' side of the line. (And despite the basic failure of Stalking Horse, that and McQueen's offensives had the desired effect of making the Manties' allies even more insistent on detachments to help safeguard their systems.)

It wasn't the function Manticore had envisioned for the BCs any more than the carrier escort role had been the primary task visualized for the new USN BB designs of the late 30s, but it wasn't because the BBs had turned their original strategy into a "disaster that was rapidly discontinued." It was because of a confluence of events. Without the required diversion of forces to the pickets, the Manties might well have persevered in their deep raids, at which point the Peep BBs would have discovered that a pair of Manty BCs was more than a match for any Peep BB in commission . . . which was about the tonnage ratio the Manties had figured they'd need all along.

Perhaps fortunately for both sides, in this respect, the realities of their war threw both sides' prewar doctrine and planning out of whack.[/quote]


It is a very informative post. I have a question, though.
RMN Admiralty during the second half of First Havenite-Manticoran War seem to attach BCs to SDs/DNs almost always in a ratio of about 1 to 1 (and in some cases 2 to 1).
Examples:
- Eighth Fleet in 1813 included 49 wallers (SD(P)s/SDs/DNs) and 40 BCs;
- The Zanzibar picket in 1813 included 6 SDs and 6 BCs;
- The Hancock picket in 1813 included 5 SDs, 1 CLAC and 11 BCs;
- The Seaford Nine picket in 1813 included 3 SDs and 4 BCs;
- The Elric picket in 1814 included 3 SD(P)s, 2 SDs and 16 BCs.

My question why did the RMN Admiralty not reduce the number of BCs in these pickets in half and send the other half in deep raids. I mean, what additional capability was added to the Eighth Fleet by the last 20 of its BCs ? In what scenario would 49 wallers and 20 BCs would be hard pressed and an additional 20 BCs would make a signifficant difference ?
The same goes about the other pickets: what signifficant capability was added by the last 2 BCs of Seaford Nine picket ? What conceivable scenario was materially made better by adding 2 BCs to a picket of 3 SDs and 2 BCs (except maybe that one of two additional BCs carried Admiral Santino's replacement on board :D )?
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Re: Battle of Trevor's Star
Post by Jonathan_S   » Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:06 pm

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Hegemon wrote:It is a very informative post. I have a question, though.
RMN Admiralty during the second half of First Havenite-Manticoran War seem to attach BCs to SDs/DNs almost always in a ratio of about 1 to 1 (and in some cases 2 to 1).
Examples:
- Eighth Fleet in 1813 included 49 wallers (SD(P)s/SDs/DNs) and 40 BCs;
- The Zanzibar picket in 1813 included 6 SDs and 6 BCs;
- The Hancock picket in 1813 included 5 SDs, 1 CLAC and 11 BCs;
- The Seaford Nine picket in 1813 included 3 SDs and 4 BCs;
- The Elric picket in 1814 included 3 SD(P)s, 2 SDs and 16 BCs.

My question why did the RMN Admiralty not reduce the number of BCs in these pickets in half and send the other half in deep raids. I mean, what additional capability was added to the Eighth Fleet by the last 20 of its BCs ? In what scenario would 49 wallers and 20 BCs would be hard pressed and an additional 20 BCs would make a signifficant difference ?
The same goes about the other pickets: what signifficant capability was added by the last 2 BCs of Seaford Nine picket ? What conceivable scenario was materially made better by adding 2 BCs to a picket of 3 SDs and 2 BCs (except maybe that one of two additional BCs carried Admiral Santino's replacement on board :D )?

Well I'd assume after the Battle of Hancock that the field modification to let BC's tow and fire 5 - 7 pods worth of capital missiles were distributed around the fleet.

If you don't have more SDs and DNs to thicken the picket having 20 BCs firing an opening salvo of between 1,000 and 1,400 capital missiles could be a heck of an equalizer.


Plus unlike the wallers they're fast enough to back up the picket's other cruisers if the Peeps try a cruiser hit and run raid on secondary targets in the outer system.

Whether they'd have been better used making more deep raids is hard to say, but when Manticore was politically forced to spread resources in penny packets to picket every system using BCs as some of that force probably let them keep more wallers concentrated at the front. And that really seems like it would have to be a better use of the forces than using those BCs to raid and being forced to divert additional DNs and SDs into picketting forces that were driven more by political and diplomatic realities than military ones.
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Re: Battle of Trevor's Star
Post by Hegemon   » Wed Aug 29, 2018 3:49 pm

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Jonathan_S wrote:
Well I'd assume after the Battle of Hancock that the field modification to let BC's tow and fire 5 - 7 pods worth of capital missiles.

If you don't have more SDs and DNs to thicken the picket having 20 BCs firing an opening salvo of between 1,000 and 1,400 capital missiles would be a heck of an equalizer.


In the case of the Eight Fleet in 1913, its 49 wallers could tow at least 24 pods each (a total of about 1200 pods), its 3 SD(P)s could carry 1500 pods internally and its first 20 BCs could tow 100-140 pods.

Adding all up, another 100-140 pods from the last 20 BCs would mean an increase of only 4%-5%, which does not seem significant.

Jonathan_S wrote:Plus unlike the wallers they're fast enough to back up the picket's other cruisers if the Peeps try a cruiser hit and run raid on secondary targets in the outer system.


Yes, but the remaining 20 BCs of the Eighth Fleet should be more than enough for that, especially with the backing of the dozens of BCs that were undoubtedly present in the Third Fleet (both fleets defended Trevor Star, the same system).

Jonathan_S wrote:Whether they'd have been better used making more deep raids is hard to say, but when Manticore was politically forced to spread resources in penny packets to picket every system using BCs as some of that force probably let them keep more wallers concentrated at the front. And that really seems like it would have to be a better use of the forces than using those BCs to raid and being forced to divert additional DNs and SDs into picketting forces that were driven more by political and diplomatic realities than military ones.


My question more generally is: was there any identified special tactical synergy or established navy doctrine that specified that wallers must have a heavy screen of an equivalent number of BCs ?

And by the way, how far (in MKm) from the wall of battle would this heavy screen of BCs usually operated around 1913 ? I suppose the advent of SD(P)s on both sides and the threat it posed forced a significant reduction of that distance.
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Re: Battle of Trevor's Star
Post by kzt   » Wed Aug 29, 2018 6:41 pm

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Hegemon wrote:And by the way, how far (in MKm) from the wall of battle would this heavy screen of BCs usually operated around 1913 ? I suppose the advent of SD(P)s on both sides and the threat it posed forced a significant reduction of that distance.

I think the distance was implied at BoM as hundreds of thousands of KMs, as the LAC wings blew up the entire escort force, then got virtually annihilated by the SDs doing essentially no damage to them when they passed through the SD formation.

It appeared to take more than a few seconds but not a large number of minutes for the LACs to reach the SDs.
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Re: Battle of Trevor's Star
Post by Jonathan_S   » Wed Aug 29, 2018 11:08 pm

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kzt wrote:
Hegemon wrote:And by the way, how far (in MKm) from the wall of battle would this heavy screen of BCs usually operated around 1913 ? I suppose the advent of SD(P)s on both sides and the threat it posed forced a significant reduction of that distance.

I think the distance was implied at BoM as hundreds of thousands of KMs, as the LAC wings blew up the entire escort force, then got virtually annihilated by the SDs doing essentially no damage to them when they passed through the SD formation.

It appeared to take more than a few seconds but not a large number of minutes for the LACs to reach the SDs.

AAC doesn't say but I suspect that the Havenite escort screen may have moved forward to meet the LACs so that they could blunt the attack before it would potentially threaten the SD(P)s (or more likely gut any excess pods already out on the donkeys - unused due to how quickly Home Fleet died)

The RMN LACs had been covering Home Fleet's approach so the surviving 2,000 or so would have started their attack runs from 60 - 65 million km out. I don't know offhand what their base closing was but assume it's going to take at least 20 minutes to close that range (it's take over 70 from rest).
That's plenty of time for the Havenite screen to punch forward and blunt their attack. (Or conversely if preserving the screen was the priority to fall back on the SD(P)s and gain the protection of their defenses)

But it's also possible that they were already out that far to form an outer anti-missile screen and simply chose to remain at that range to engage the LACs.


Manticore probably wouldn't use their screening warships the same way anymore because 1) their LACs are far more capable anti-missile units than Havens and 2) their Keyhole equipped units can lay down massive numbers of CMs each of which significantly outrange those Haven has. So they already have more defensive depth without exposing their destroyers and cruisers so far out on a limb. But in the 1913 era they may have kept them further out - even though against the SDMs of the era you didn't need so physically deep an anti-missile defense to get the same amount of defensive time.
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Re: Battle of Trevor's Star
Post by Shannon_Foraker   » Wed Mar 30, 2022 3:33 pm

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Jonathan_S wrote:
cthia wrote:Of course, you do realize that your formally saying that White Haven was better than she, is finally, meat fleshed out for the grinder.

Actually he didn't say that. He said that White Haven, given Manticore's available forces, logistics, and technology was able to slowly force Ester McQueen given Haven's available forces, logistics, and technology, towards defeat in and around Trevor's Star.

But that doesn't definitively resolve who is a better tactician on some abstract level.

It's entirely possible that if they had magically dropped into each other's shoes at the start of that campaign that McQueen could have led the Manticoran forces to drive White Haven back into defeat at least as well as he'd done. Sometimes the playing field is uneven enough that the best a superior tactician can do is to do make the enemy's victory as slow and painful as possible (setting up hope for later successful counterattack).

Agree with you.
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Re: Battle of Trevor's Star
Post by cthia   » Wed Mar 30, 2022 3:49 pm

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Jonathan_S wrote:
cthia wrote:Of course, you do realize that your formally saying that White Haven was better than she, is finally, meat fleshed out for the grinder.

Actually he didn't say that. He said that White Haven, given Manticore's available forces, logistics, and technology was able to slowly force Ester McQueen given Haven's available forces, logistics, and technology, towards defeat in and around Trevor's Star.

But that doesn't definitively resolve who is a better tactician on some abstract level.

It's entirely possible that if they had magically dropped into each other's shoes at the start of that campaign that McQueen could have led the Manticoran forces to drive White Haven back into defeat at least as well as he'd done. Sometimes the playing field is uneven enough that the best a superior tactician can do is to do make the enemy's victory as slow and painful as possible (setting up hope for later successful counterattack).

Shannon_Foraker wrote:Agree with you.


I agree as well. Actually, since I haven't seen hide nor hair of the author in quite some time and I may be safe from graserheads, it doesn't matter what the author said about their relative strengths. Even if RFC had said that Theisman was better than Esther, my brain would never accept it. Storyline has long since ruined me about Esther. She will always be typecast in my head as the greatest strategist and tactician that Haven ever had. Bar none.

And do remember that we could never get RFC to weigh in on the Top 10 tacticians or strategists in that thread.

Chicken shit!

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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Re: Battle of Trevor's Star
Post by tlb   » Wed Mar 30, 2022 4:48 pm

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Jonathan_S wrote:He said that White Haven, given Manticore's available forces, logistics, and technology was able to slowly force Ester McQueen given Haven's available forces, logistics, and technology, towards defeat in and around Trevor's Star.

But that doesn't definitively resolve who is a better tactician on some abstract level.

It's entirely possible that if they had magically dropped into each other's shoes at the start of that campaign that McQueen could have led the Manticoran forces to drive White Haven back into defeat at least as well as he'd done. Sometimes the playing field is uneven enough that the best a superior tactician can do is to do make the enemy's victory as slow and painful as possible (setting up hope for later successful counterattack).

Shannon_Foraker wrote:Agree with you.

cthia wrote:I agree as well. Actually, since I haven't seen hide nor hair of the author in quite some time and I may be safe from graserheads, it doesn't matter what the author said about their relative strengths. Even if RFC had said that Theisman was better than Esther, my brain would never accept it. Storyline has long since ruined me about Esther. She will always be typecast in my head as the greatest strategist and tactician that Haven ever had. Bar none.

And do remember that we could never get RFC to weigh in on the Top 10 tacticians or strategists in that thread.

Chicken shit!

I do not know what story-line is playing in your head, but I doubt that will ever be proven one way or another. However did you seriously say that it was "chicken shit!" that RFC has not contributed to the thread on top ten strategists and tacticians? He has more important things to do (like writing more books, please) than getting involved in trivia. Over the years we have heard more from him in the forum than we should ever have expected.
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Re: Battle of Trevor's Star
Post by cthia   » Wed Mar 30, 2022 5:10 pm

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tlb wrote:
Jonathan_S wrote:He said that White Haven, given Manticore's available forces, logistics, and technology was able to slowly force Ester McQueen given Haven's available forces, logistics, and technology, towards defeat in and around Trevor's Star.

But that doesn't definitively resolve who is a better tactician on some abstract level.

It's entirely possible that if they had magically dropped into each other's shoes at the start of that campaign that McQueen could have led the Manticoran forces to drive White Haven back into defeat at least as well as he'd done. Sometimes the playing field is uneven enough that the best a superior tactician can do is to do make the enemy's victory as slow and painful as possible (setting up hope for later successful counterattack).

Shannon_Foraker wrote:Agree with you.

cthia wrote:I agree as well. Actually, since I haven't seen hide nor hair of the author in quite some time and I may be safe from graserheads, it doesn't matter what the author said about their relative strengths. Even if RFC had said that Theisman was better than Esther, my brain would never accept it. Storyline has long since ruined me about Esther. She will always be typecast in my head as the greatest strategist and tactician that Haven ever had. Bar none.

And do remember that we could never get RFC to weigh in on the Top 10 tacticians or strategists in that thread.

Chicken shit!

I do not know what story-line is playing in your head, but I doubt that will ever be proven one way or another. However did you seriously say that it was "chicken shit!" that RFC has not contributed to the thread on top ten strategists and tacticians? He has more important things to do (like writing more books, please) than getting involved in trivia. Over the years we have heard more from him in the forum than we should ever have expected.


:deepbreath:

Absolutely not!

It is worse than that. Far more profound than that!

I was calling him chickenshit for being afraid to. As many people in the thread were. As I myself were. As I still am. There was a lot of heat in that thread felt by many of the posters. My 12-yr-old niece was melting Geiger counters at ten paces.

RFC read that thread. He isn't wrapped too tightly, and I am certain he recognized the rib for what it is.

By the way, I whispered that rib. Thanks for yelling it out loudly.



Stop wearing Fruit of the Looms. They wrap your clackers too tightly. :D


It is more like this. RFC was already in the thread. While you are here, throw us a bone. Anything? Give us a snippet of an answer. A snip? Does it rhyme with Heisman? LOL

Son, your mother says I have to hang you. Personally I don't think this is a capital offense. But if I don't hang you, she's gonna hang me and frankly, I'm not the one in trouble. —cthia's father. Incident in ? Axiom of Common Sense
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