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SL Diplomacy

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Re: SL Diplomacy
Post by ldwechsler   » Thu Sep 21, 2017 1:45 pm

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-[/quote]

I found an interesting photo some years back, of a group of young boys, all cousins, vacationing in the late 1800s in the Alps. Three of these youngsters went on to be King or England, Kaiser of Germany, and Tzar of Russia by 1912. All the leaders of the European countries were closely related and knew each other. It's no wonder they were all idiots leading their countries to slaughter.[/quote]


Sort of reminds me of Game of Thrones. Which, of course, is based on European royalty. By the way, the Austrians were not in the picture for THIS (and they were the ones who really got it started) because they were Habsburgs.

And each of the leaders was surrounded by "experts" who were sure they would win easily. Sounds like the politicians today.
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Re: SL Diplomacy
Post by Dilandu   » Thu Sep 21, 2017 2:30 pm

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Theemile wrote:I found an interesting photo some years back, of a group of young boys, all cousins, vacationing in the late 1800s in the Alps. Three of these youngsters went on to be King or England, Kaiser of Germany, and Tzar of Russia by 1912. All the leaders of the European countries were closely related and knew each other. It's no wonder they were all idiots leading their countries to slaughter.


It is simplification on the brink of stupidification, frankly. The Great War was the result of nerly half of century of unresolved tensions in Europe. Germany wanted to establish absolute military superiority in Europe by crushing ultimately the France, and conquer the global market by taking over French colonies & forcing Russia to sign unequal trade treaties. France wanted revanche after 1871 humilation, and also wanted to re-establish the former French superiority in Europe. Russia feared the possibility of German domination in Europe (there were a lot of custom conflict between Rusian Empire and Germany in XIX...), and also wanted to obtain the Straits, so the russian trade may have better positions. Britain, after yers of isolation and covertly messing with continental politics suddenly found that Germany have superior industry and if Germany would achieve european domination, there wouldn't be any way for Britain to survive - German Navy were already pretty powerfull, and if Germany could pull more resources into naval reamarment... Lesser participants - Austro-Hungary, Italy, Ottoman Empire, Bulgary - also have their own agendas.

It was a real mess of conflictiong national interests, and the worst part was, that nearly everyone in Europe forgot, how horrible the war could be. Since 1871, there were no major wars between major european states, and the Franco-German war was relatively fast, not very cruel and generally civilized. Everyone just assumed that the next war would be like that, too...
------------------------------

Oh well, if shortening the front is what the Germans crave,
Let's shorten it to very end - the length of Fuhrer's grave.

(Red Army lyrics from 1945)
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Re: SL Diplomacy
Post by Brigade XO   » Thu Sep 21, 2017 3:30 pm

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It is just possible that the SL might get some conversation about a cease fire if at least two things happen.
1) The League (pehaps not mentioneing the Mandarins by names and speifying who was involved) was given faulty information and other information was withheld from the appropriate bodies (SLN etc) about what was going on in the Talbot Quadrant AND the Byng/Crandall/Fillerta "stuff" was a massive conspiracy amoung high ranking officers and at least one Transtellar ....
2) Somebody beleves ANYBODY in the SL who is in a Sr. Buracratic position actuly wants peace.
Be a cold day in Hell.

As for someone like the Midguard systems wanting to be the intermediary, there are a couple of things that mitigate against that.
Most prominent in that is that Midguard and Asguard, aside from being the other side of Manticorian space from the SL, neither (we have been told) had any problems with Manticore. Also not mentioned was any problems with the Aldermani. Haven isn't represented as having done anything there. So, with a long history of good relations with their two nearest major traiding partners (not counting any SL based trade connections), Neigher Midguard nor Asguard are likely to be fearfull that Manticore is going to want to swallow them up. The Aldermani might be a question in the looking to expand in their direction BUT the Aldermani (along with Manticore) has half of Silesia to deal with and then it has other potential avenues open. Nobody has spoke of what might be outboard and above/below the Haven Quadrant from the direction of the SL so that gives a vast area of unexplored if not only unreported in the books) to grow into though that mostly could mean planting colonies rather than locking up trade and relationships with what are-if settled- independent systems.

Besides, if you want to follow the Devil you Kown line of reasoning, OFS is right up there with the old PRH except not outright obvious conquest of any system the come to. They "help" them and "protect" them right into a couple of centuries of subjugation by debt servitued if not stand as the leg-breakers behind a local tyrant. Matapan or Midguard wanting to open a conduit for OFS to come swanning into their area and "help" in exchange for being an offset for Manticore and the Alderaman? Fox into henhouse or snake in the nest is more like it.

Diplomacy from the SL has been brass knuckles and intimidation. Two or more SL systems having problems.....play nice or the NAVY will pay you a visit and we will have to "monitor and oversee" things like your customs, trade relations, and a whole host of other "little" areas.
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Re: SL Diplomacy
Post by Dilandu   » Thu Sep 21, 2017 11:35 pm

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Brigade XO wrote:As for someone like the Midguard systems wanting to be the intermediary, there are a couple of things that mitigate against that.
Most prominent in that is that Midguard and Asguard, aside from being the other side of Manticorian space from the SL, neither (we have been told) had any problems with Manticore. Also not mentioned was any problems with the Aldermani. Haven isn't represented as having done anything there. So, with a long history of good relations with their two nearest major traiding partners (not counting any SL based trade connections), Neigher Midguard nor Asguard are likely to be fearfull that Manticore is going to want to swallow them up. The Aldermani might be a question in the looking to expand in their direction BUT the Aldermani (along with Manticore) has half of Silesia to deal with and then it has other potential avenues open.

.


They have simple problems with Manticore; the Manticore is a young imperialistic predator, which just came into expandion phase and teamed up with other well-known imperialistic predators to, presumably, conquer more and more. They alredy ripped apart Silesia just because "it was inefficiently ruled and dangerous", yadda, yadda.

About "well, they already have Silesia, surely it would be enough for them?"... well, this kind of thinking was dominant in 1938, when one eager, young imperialistic power invaded neighborhood country and other countries (including the allies of attackrd country) decided to let it be, hoping "well, they already have Sudets, surely it would be enough for them?..." In short - this kind of thinking never worked with imperialistic nations. The empires could exist and prosper only by expansion - and Manticore is a classical empire, after all.
------------------------------

Oh well, if shortening the front is what the Germans crave,
Let's shorten it to very end - the length of Fuhrer's grave.

(Red Army lyrics from 1945)
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Re: SL Diplomacy
Post by runsforcelery   » Fri Sep 22, 2017 1:54 am

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Dilandu wrote:
Brigade XO wrote:As for someone like the Midguard systems wanting to be the intermediary, there are a couple of things that mitigate against that.
Most prominent in that is that Midguard and Asguard, aside from being the other side of Manticorian space from the SL, neither (we have been told) had any problems with Manticore. Also not mentioned was any problems with the Aldermani. Haven isn't represented as having done anything there. So, with a long history of good relations with their two nearest major traiding partners (not counting any SL based trade connections), Neigher Midguard nor Asguard are likely to be fearfull that Manticore is going to want to swallow them up. The Aldermani might be a question in the looking to expand in their direction BUT the Aldermani (along with Manticore) has half of Silesia to deal with and then it has other potential avenues open.

.


They have simple problems with Manticore; the Manticore is a young imperialistic predator, which just came into expandion phase and teamed up with other well-known imperialistic predators to, presumably, conquer more and more. They alredy ripped apart Silesia just because "it was inefficiently ruled and dangerous", yadda, yadda.

About "well, they already have Silesia, surely it would be enough for them?"... well, this kind of thinking was dominant in 1938, when one eager, young imperialistic power invaded neighborhood country and other countries (including the allies of attackrd country) decided to let it be, hoping "well, they already have Sudets, surely it would be enough for them?..." In short - this kind of thinking never worked with imperialistic nations. The empires could exist and prosper only by expansion - and Manticore is a classical empire, after all.


I would rather strongly quibble with your characterization as "Manticore is a classical empire, after all those quotes or characterizing it as "a young imperialistic predator." Now, I'm sure that's how the Solarian League would like to portray them, and that's definitely the image the Mesan Alignment is trying to paint of them. But Manticore didn't want the Talbott Sector. Those systems petitioned for membership, and Manticore accepted their petitions, but only on conditions which radically liberalized at least half the regimes involved and excluded regimes which refused to liberalize. There is a very real fear in Manticore that the huge populations added to the Star Empire pose a threat to the Star Kingdom's traditional political stability. By this point, the "Old Manticorans" are a distinctly tiny minority of the total population of the Star Empire, and as yet, they have no way of telling (1) how responsibly their new fellow citizens are going to exercise the franchise or (2) how successful they are going to be in maintaining the sort of stable constitutional monarchy they've had since the Plague Years. This is a genuine concern, and one reason (among many) for the federal structure the imperial constitution has adopted. The Manties have done everything they can think of to "buffer" the Old Star Kingdom against the sudden influx of newly enfranchised voters. In fact, there is a significant movement afoot in Landing to invite Beowulf to join the Old Star Kingdom. It would make sense (assuming Beowulfers decided to become Manticorans) in terms of astrophysics, since they are right on the other side of the wormhole. This is the same logic that makes Trevor's Star and the Lynx System part the Old Star Kingdom. The other reason for it, though, is that Beowulf pretty thoroughly understands the Manticoran system after so many centuries of close partnership and intermarriage, and Beowulf has a huge population. Manticore is going to be a lot less worried about how Beowulfers are going to use their ballots than they are about someone in a Fringe system which has never before had honest, responsible, elective government and that influx of votes into the Old Star Kingdom would help a lot when it comes to proportional representation in the Imperial House of Commons. My point is simply that Manticore was a "classic" empire only in the sense that she was a "classic thalassocracy." She was a trading power, which didn't even have extraterritorial colonies, and if she'd had her druthers, that's what she'd still be. She acquired her "empire" largely out of the need to survive in the face of war with a far larger power and once the shooting stops, there's absolutely no need for her to continue expanding and risking destabilization of her political system while there are strong arguments against expansion . . . including the fact that she doesn't need to expand to reestablish the same sort of trading relationships she had before. She may lose some of her penetration of the Solarian League as a consequence of the current unpleasantness, but she's going to pick up far more markets — and probably rapidly growing ones, even though they'll start out considerably smaller-scale than the Core World markets she may have lost — to replace it.

In Silesia, a huge part of Manticore's motivation in the partitioning was a desperate need to bring the Andermani on board as an ally against Eloise Pritchart's Republic of Haven. Manticore is scarcely a "young" anything, actually. It's been around a long time, it's been a major player on the economic and political fronts for centuries, and it's established its reputation in the Fringe and the Verge the hard way. In short, at least prior to the current unpleasantness, Manticore's word was good in terms of interstellar relations. Even today, its reputation is a hell of a lot better than anybody else out there.

Another part of Manticore's motivation in dividing Silesia with the Andermani is that they had been spending blood and treasure in the Silesians cesspool for a long time and the situation was getting worse, not better. Manticore could make a pretty good argument that its . . . acquisition a somewhat Silesian territory is actually the best thing that could've happened to the people living there, and I'm pretty sure that twenty or thirty years of Manticoran governance will convince most Silesians of the same thing. I'm not saying that it wasn't at least as much and probably more cynical interstellar realpolitik by a star nation fighting for its life as it was any kind of moral crusade to bring good government to the neobarbs, but it wasn't exactly the same sort of thing OFS has been doing for the last several centuries.

The Andermani have always been "imperialistic" and "expansionist," but it's been a very strange sort of imperialism. With the exception of, I think, two star systems which Gustav Anderman added to his core empire by force of arms (after de had attacked him), every star system added to the Andermani Empire petitioned for admission. Basically, the Andermani have specialized in "rescuing" systems in trouble . . . which is exactly what both they and the Manties did in Silesia.

The People's Republic of Haven was a classic, aggressive, militarily and territorially expansive empire. The restored Republic of Haven is not, at least under the current administration, and Eloise Pritchart is probably going to have long enough in office to pretty thoroughly break Haven of its conquistador tendencies. It's probably going to be harder for Haven to convince the galaxy at large that this particular leopard really has changed its spots, but the fact that it's no longer acquiring star systems, that it's allowing plebiscites for star systems that want to leave the Republic, and that it's working very hard to establish normalized relations and trading partnerships with both Manticore and other star systems is going to both add momentum to Pritchart's reforms and, gradually, should go a long way towards restoring Haven's good name.

As I said above, these are scarcely the images the Mandarins and the Mesan Alignment are helping to shore up, Manticore's halo is going to need some serious buffing up after the Alignment and the League's Office of Public Information get done with it. But those appearances are quite different from the reality.


"Oh, bother!" said Pooh, as Piglet came back from the dead.
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Re: SL Diplomacy
Post by kzt   » Fri Sep 22, 2017 2:02 am

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That distressing tendency of Manticorans visiting Mesa to explode nukes also probably doesn’t help. ;)
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Re: SL Diplomacy
Post by runsforcelery   » Fri Sep 22, 2017 2:10 am

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kzt wrote:That distressing tendency of Manticorans visiting Mesa to explode nukes also probably doesn’t help. ;)

Well, true. There is that. :roll: But everyone has at least one unfortunate habit, KZT! :P


"Oh, bother!" said Pooh, as Piglet came back from the dead.
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Re: SL Diplomacy
Post by n7axw   » Fri Sep 22, 2017 2:16 am

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RFC's summary is how the story is told. But why does the thought that the road to hell is paved with good intentions come to mind.....

Don

-
When any group seeks political power in God's name, both religion and politics are instantly corrupted.
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Re: SL Diplomacy
Post by pappilon   » Fri Sep 22, 2017 2:44 am

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n7axw wrote:RFC's summary is how the story is told. But why does the thought that the road to hell is paved with good intentions come to mind.....

Don

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2 words: Audrey O'Hanrahan
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The imagination has to be trained into foresight and empathy.
Ursula K. LeGuinn

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Re: SL Diplomacy
Post by Dilandu   » Fri Sep 22, 2017 4:55 am

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RFC, please, we knew that Manticore is a kingdom of mass-produced good guys who are virtually unable to do anything evil or selfish (and rare evolution throwback who are selfish, greedy or just evil are wiped out with tremendous speed - usually after 2-3 books at most) :) But lets put a bit of realism here; there are no good empires, and interventions with the best intents are still interventions. And peoples did not like when they are conquered by someone who claim to "act for their own good".

Another part of Manticore's motivation in dividing Silesia with the Andermani is that they had been spending blood and treasure in the Silesians cesspool for a long time and the situation was getting worse, not better. Manticore could make a pretty good argument that its . . . acquisition a somewhat Silesian territory is actually the best thing that could've happened to the people living there, and I'm pretty sure that twenty or thirty years of Manticoran governance will convince most Silesians of the same thing. I'm not saying that it wasn't at least as much and probably more cynical interstellar realpolitik by a star nation fighting for its life as it was any kind of moral crusade to bring good government to the neobarbs, but it wasn't exactly the same sort of thing OFS has been doing for the last several centuries.


Neither Afganistan (both USSR and USA campaign) nor Iraq, nor basically any other campaign of XX century demonstrated that this could actually work. For Pete's sake, the direct soviet control was probably the best thing the Afganistan could have! The USSR was probably the closest thing to "benevolent empire" you described; in Soviet-controlled states, the growth of infrastructure, industry, and the average citizen quality of life tended to be impressive (just compare North Korea and South Korea in 1960s).

Still, for "some reasons" the Afgan War was not won by USSR nor in year, nor in five years. And the Eastern Europe never was completely satisfied with what they have, despite the fact that before many of them have almost nothing. Peoples generally didn't like when some "benevolent occupants" started to push them around, even for their own good.

That's my point. In real world, the "benevolent occupations" almost never worked, unless the country was literally stomped into the dirt, crushed and rebuild under guns of occuping forces (like Germany and Japan after World War II). And more importantly - nobody ever believed that the occupation was ACTUALLY supposed to be benevolent. Especially if there were other side, firmly opposed to said occupation.

My essential point is - nobody likes the expansionists, no matter what reasons they have to take over neutral states. Because everyone start to fear "what if they decide to occupy MY nation next?!"
------------------------------

Oh well, if shortening the front is what the Germans crave,
Let's shorten it to very end - the length of Fuhrer's grave.

(Red Army lyrics from 1945)
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