We have heard this statement now for a couple of centuries: Because of automation most jobs will disappear and we will see a high unemployment.
If I try to be overly nice i can agree to that based on 19th to 21st century, but that is stretching the concept as the theoretics that came from 19th century was exactly that, theory. And very few really expected it to happen largescale in the first half of the 20th century, as industry constantly needed more personnel while agriculture needed less thanks to mechanisation.
Hornblower wrote:What is overlooked is that most future jobs will be jobs that do not exist today and are outside our imagination. The key is the education and training systems - how to prepare young (and not so young)people for the future development of the workplace.
Wow, talk about copout.
Except you´re not looking at reality much then. When industry jobs started disappearing, a fair amount switched to service jobs and then later to informationbased jobs... And there´s no problem with that, AS LONG AS THERE IS A WAY TO MAKE A WAGE OUT OF IT.
And that´s what we´re already starting to look at. Thing is, next wave of automation isn´t going to stop with the manufacturing industry, it´s going to hit service industry, information and news industry as well, at the same time.
Lots of news and information industry companies are already failing because there´s not enough money to be made in the business.
You´re not seeing it in Germany thanks to the for you grossly undervalued Euro artificially inflating the economy, but it has started.
"jobs that do not exist today and are outside our imagination"? Seriously?
There´s absolutely no trouble finding jobs that needs to be done. Finding someone that wants to pay for getting them done, THAT is the problem.
You may not have noticed, thanks to German telemarketing laws(and damn do i want them here!), but telemarketing is pretty much the only "industry" that has taken up the jobs lost in highly industrialised nations over the last 20 years.
And it has done so by giving wages that are barely worth being called that. And it´s still financially precarious in most countries.
Almost noone LIKES being a telemarketer, yet we´re not seeing other jobs automagically appearing as you claim they should.
Not because people are unable to imagine new jobs, oh no, that´s easy. But because noone is interested in paying for those new jobs to be done.
If you provide everyone with a basic income at least 80 % will stop working and just draw this income.
That´s bullshit. Places that have actually tried various systems for it has seen fairly neutral results, and where it differs from without it, it´s usually that it ends up with LESS people not working.
As it allows unemployed the ability to TRY something new without having to risk their future for it.
Your magically appearing new jobs isn´t going to happen without something like this.