Brigade XO wrote:Within the Core, the problem is primarily the loss of markets and sources of goods/materials lost because a) lack of ships, b) loss of developed and one would suppose most cost effective routes out to the markets/sources of desired goods beyond the Core........
At that point, it becomes a question of can the Transtellar survive in the local market without 1) exports and 2) inability to import enough goods and force the locals to buy them vs what can be produced localy.
Without Europe and the USA buying Chinese made goods, would China immediately collapse economically? Yes it would. This is essentially what the transtellars are doing in the Honorverse. Cheaply making the goods elsewhere, labor cost is low, to ship to where labor cost is high and prices are high
There are a lot of things about the Honorverse that don't make sense, and the economic system is one. When David decided to do a scenario based on the Age of Sail, he bought into a number of assumptions, one of which was that there were goods that it made economic sense to transport from one place to another.
In the modern world, one of the major drivers is labor costs. In the world of the Age of Sail, labor costs were much less of an issue; the issue was that there were simply things that couldn't be grown in England, like tea, coffee, cane sugar, many textiles, etc. Some of this was based on plantation agriculture, which used slave labor. Mostly, though, that was because the labor wasn't available locally. Today agricultural plantations still exist, but they don't use slave labor, at least officially.
The Age of Sail was based on empire economics, where a central country used other countries as resources and actively kept them from being self-sufficient. Essentially, it sucked the life-blood out of its colonies, turning them eventually into husks that were a drag on the empire's finances.
Given the way manufacturing robotics is headed today, I have a hard time imagining a core world 2000 years in the future that couldn't manufacture anything its citizens wanted locally.
The same goes for biologicals, the way genetics is headed. CRISPR/Cas9 is a game changer. I wonder how many people know that there's a major international project to reengineer the genetics of bakers yeast to make it an ideal organism for engineered biologicals. The last project status I heard was that their current happily growing organisms have had over half of their chromosomes replaced with completely lab-synthesized chromosomes. They're growing quite happily. And they're actually more stable against mutations than the wild type because of a few fundamental improvements made along the way.
Honorverse economics makes no sense, so whatever way the war develops is fantasy.