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Comparative price of military expenses to overall economy.

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Re: Comparative price of military expenses to overall econom
Post by Belial666   » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:28 am

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Yeah, with a population of ~3 billion available they should have had some 150 million people in orbit. They didn't even have close to that.
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Re: Comparative price of military expenses to overall econom
Post by Vince   » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:37 am

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Relax wrote:Daryl, that is nice when comparing say, the USA to IRAQ. It does not compute when it is Germany verses France in WWI. Haven vrs Manticore is far closer to Germany vrs France in WWI than USA vrs IRAQ.

In a war for survival, the spacer population should have exploded in regards to building new ship building slips. Instead we barely see a building program increase at all. There should have been tens of millions of people building ship building centers along with the smelters to create the basic materials infrastructure to build the ships in question along with the training of new ships crew.

Instead we got a ho hum, couple million working while the rest cross their fingers.

Gotta remember WWII the limitation was natural resources, not enough raw power as well to smelt, etc, not manpower in the case of the USA production. In Germany's case it was manpower and the simple fact their transportation infrastructure was blown to bits halting production. RFC is on record saying that the Honorverse civilizations do not have a choke point for natural resources OR power systems. Therefore the limitation is manpower. What do the books demonstrate? A lack of resources, not manpower. Otherwise there would be 10,000 building slips, and a hundred thousand ships, not the couple hundred we see produced. They literally should have had idle ships sitting in orbit they could not man if manpower truly was their limitation when natural resources were NOT the limitation.

I would add one more limitation in the Honorverse to manpower:

Time.

No matter how much manpower, natural resources and power you have, it still takes a certain amount of time to extract the natural resources, move them to where they are 'smelted', 'smelt' them, move the purified natural resources where they will be used, and finally be turned into infrastructure to build ships, and then repeat the above cycle to build the ships themselves.

It also takes time for your manpower to become educated, then apply that education to the real world, to get the experience needed. This has been discussed on this forum before.
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Re: Comparative price of military expenses to overall econom
Post by Tenshinai   » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:42 am

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Belial666 wrote:It's the same. X amount of food/water/consumables, X amount of personal amenities, X cost for personal housing, X amount of entertainment. In the partitioned economy model, the rest of the nation is only giving each person in the military those resources and nothing else - it's the job of everyone in the military to work and make everything else the military needs. Of course, the navy has a lot more guys overall than the army if you include everyone needed to make it work.

You want a superdreadnought? People in the military will mine the asteroids, people in the military will refine the ore, people in the military will fabricate the parts, people in the military will assemble and construct the hull, people in the military will build and maintain the production lines for components and missiles, people in the military will train the crew, people in the military will be in R&D, people in the military will be in administration, and people in the military will finally crew and run it.


Oh wonderful, a pre-specialisation economic model. How marvelously stupid. Lets make sure everyone have too little time to get really good at their primary job. :roll:
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Re: Comparative price of military expenses to overall econom
Post by Tenshinai   » Sat Feb 28, 2015 11:48 am

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Relax wrote:Daryl, that is nice when comparing say, the USA to IRAQ. It does not compute when it is Germany verses France in WWI. Haven vrs Manticore is far closer to Germany vrs France in WWI than USA vrs IRAQ.

In a war for survival, the spacer population should have exploded in regards to building new ship building slips. Instead we barely see a building program increase at all. There should have been tens of millions of people building ship building centers along with the smelters to create the basic materials infrastructure to build the ships in question along with the training of new ships crew.

Instead we got a ho hum, couple million working while the rest cross their fingers.

Gotta remember WWII the limitation was natural resources, not enough raw power as well to smelt, etc, not manpower in the case of the USA production. In Germany's case it was manpower and the simple fact their transportation infrastructure was blown to bits halting production. RFC is on record saying that the Honorverse civilizations do not have a choke point for natural resources OR power systems. Therefore the limitation is manpower. What do the books demonstrate? A lack of resources, not manpower. Otherwise there would be 10,000 building slips, and a hundred thousand ships, not the couple hundred we see produced. They literally should have had idle ships sitting in orbit they could not man if manpower truly was their limitation when natural resources were NOT the limitation.


You discard political realities, the fact that it´s not supposed to be a 4X GAME where the almighty ruler always can do exactly has they wish.

It´s also not manpower, but TRAINED manpower that is one major bottleneck.

Not to mention how they need to keep the civillian economy running properly or else noone is going to pay for all those fancy ships.

A decent comparison is with how Haven later on DOES try to mobilise to a war economy, which leads to "suddenly" being able to start churning out a LOT more ships. But recall that they also had to make some serious changes to training as well as to the hardware itself to have any chance at crewing those new ships.

Manticore is based on highly trained crews working complex equipment at high efficiency.
If they started trying to masstrain crews for extreme massproduction, it just wouldn´t work.
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Re: Comparative price of military expenses to overall econom
Post by Belial666   » Sat Feb 28, 2015 12:25 pm

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Tenshinai wrote:Oh wonderful, a pre-specialisation economic model. How marvelously stupid. Lets make sure everyone have too little time to get really good at their primary job. :roll:

Wait, what? I never said "non-specialized" personnel. I said "everyone is part of the military".
Don't tell me the military guys doing R&D are the same as the military guys doing yard work or the militart guys crewing the ships. Sonja Hemphill is not Paul Tankersley is not Honor Harrington. All three are part of the military but not all of them have the same skills or the same training.

It´s also not manpower, but TRAINED manpower.

20 years of pre-war buildup plus 20 years of actual war. Even in a ass-backwards speck of a country with 10 million total population like Greece where your college-level students are some 50.000 per year, with peacetime economy, you would still have trained two million people in 40 years.
Assume Manticore's education system is no better than Greece's (it really is), same percentage of college-level students and only 1 out of 20 of said students go to the military. You still get 30 million trained military personnel.
And those 30 million are with peacetime economy levels.



need to keep the civillian economy running properly or else noone is going to pay for all those fancy ships.

Greece only borderline broke the economy paying for 20% unemployment rate. I'm talking supporting a mere 5% of your population, not 20%.
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Re: Comparative price of military expenses to overall econom
Post by Bill Woods   » Sat Feb 28, 2015 12:48 pm

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Belial666 wrote:You want a superdreadnought? People in the military will mine the asteroids, people in the military will refine the ore, people in the military will fabricate the parts, people in the military will assemble and construct the hull, people in the military will build and maintain the production lines for components and missiles, people in the military will train the crew, people in the military will be in R&D, people in the military will be in administration, and people in the military will finally crew and run it.

I don't get this. Why would putting miners in uniform make them more efficient? Ditto for the refineries.

Some of the parts will need to be fabricated by people with security clearances. Some of the ship and missile construction ditto. Those aspects may be so pervasive that it makes sense to put the entire shipyards and missile assembly facilities more-or-less inside the government.

Obviously warship crews and many of the people who train them need to be in the military. The people who administer them will be in the government, but not necessarily in the military. Ditto for a lot of the people in R&D.
----
Imagined conversation:
Admiral [noting yet another Manty tech surprise]:
XO, what's the budget for the ONI?
Vice Admiral: I don't recall exactly, sir. Several billion quatloos.
Admiral: ... What do you suppose they did with all that money?
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Re: Comparative price of military expenses to overall econom
Post by Belial666   » Sat Feb 28, 2015 12:58 pm

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Bill Woods wrote:I don't get this. Why would putting miners in uniform make them more efficient? Ditto for the refineries.

a) Profit.
b) Corruption.
Civilian industry has the former. Politically controlled or directed projects have the latter.

But if everyone in the chain of production is in the military and the rest of the economy is only paying standard military wages plus food plus expendables for them, there's no place for either profit or corruption that can't be easily rooted out.
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Re: Comparative price of military expenses to overall econom
Post by kzt   » Sat Feb 28, 2015 3:13 pm

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Relax wrote:They literally should have had idle ships sitting in orbit they could not man if manpower truly was their limitation when natural resources were NOT the limitation.

Yup. The Soviet tank repair solution. Leave it at the side of the road and send to crew back for a new tank.
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Re: Comparative price of military expenses to overall econom
Post by Relax   » Sat Feb 28, 2015 10:23 pm

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Tenshinai wrote:
It´s also not manpower, but TRAINED manpower that is one major bottleneck.


Manufacturing, even Specialized manufacturing takes at best a year to train personnel on a crash basis. Second class 2 years out from initiation of decision. They may not be well rounded manufacturing specialists, but on an individual process specialty, they will be proficient. This is not a problem when massive manufacturing is initiated. It is a problem when only a small number of units is produced and therefore the number of personnel need to have a larger skillset to cover the greater total individual types of jobs that need to be accomplished compared to the total number of workers.

People on average are not stupid. Statistic bell curves rule.
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Re: Comparative price of military expenses to overall econom
Post by kzt   » Sat Feb 28, 2015 10:58 pm

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Relax wrote:Manufacturing, even Specialized manufacturing takes at best a year to train personnel on a crash basis. Second class 2 years out from initiation of decision. They may not be well rounded manufacturing specialists, but on an individual process specialty, they will be proficient. This is not a problem when massive manufacturing is initiated.

If you are training the entire crew from scratch I can see pretty serious problems, in that you have nobody who understands what needs to be trained or how to QC and debug the processes used.
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