And if ONI's masters don't like the sound of something, it doesn't get out to the fleet. The League as a whole has a fine tech base and R&D establishment. It's just that the League's military hasn't got the interest in changing anything or hearing that it has vital reasons to change. (Plus, the League has only a wee bit of the funds the League's systems produce, the SLN has only a wee bit of that, and procurement and testing has only a wee bit of that.)tonyz wrote:fallsfromtrees wrote:Given that this [SL early FTL communications experimentation] was in 1911 PD (HH timeline from the infodumps), either the SL scientific establishment is so incompetent that they can't generate at least a first generation FTL transmitter in 11 years, or they have never bothered to tell the fleet that they have cracked it on the grounds that they can't see any possible use for it. Certainly, it shouldn't be coming as such a surprise to the SLN that such a thing is possible.
We've seen much evidence that the SLN's methods of technical and intelligence evaluation are horrifically bad, and have been for decades if not centuries. Plus its shipbuilding wing is incredibly conservative and mostly locked into very slight evolutionary changes with a heaping side order of "looking sexy for the taxpayers".
But the SLN's intelligence wing and its shipbuilding wing are not the same thing, and the SLN is not the entire scientific establishment of the SL. It's very possible that quite a few people in quite a few places have Things In The Pipeline that we just haven't seen yet, or that have been proposed but are still under evaluation, or that the shipbuilding guys are trying to figure out how to bribe someone to use their version instead of their competitor's version...
So there's just not much of a market in the League for turning theory into naval hardware. Or there hasn't been. Now there is, but it's too late for the League. For the, say, ten Republics of Haven that may fall out of it, that'll be a booming business.
It's curious, yes. They - various SDF's - have had observers around for the Havenite Wars and don't have the SLN's institutional blindness. So the fact that the SLN became target drones with thousands of people obliviously inside them years ago isn't a surprise for them, unless (which is somewhat plausible) their heads just reject the step in the argument that concludes the SLN isn't invincible at all.Certainly Manticore is justified in worrying about the issue. And who knows what some of the SDFs have been quietly thinking about while the Invincible SLN continues to filter out the evidence?
And with RF systems likely ones that have had reasonable and vigorous SDF's, you'd think they'd have already been fair conduits for the Alignment on the state of hardware out there. I wonder if the Alignment has suffered any institutional blindness of its own, thinking that it would certainly be able to develop more or less on its own more of Manticore's toy box as a better method than stealing it, because, after all, they've got genetically engineered supergeniuses at work on it.
Also note that the Mesan Alignment has been looking into things for a while but still hasn't fundamentally cracked the main issues for the MDM or high-bandwidth FTL transmission, and they've deliberately been looking for gamechangers. Manticore has a two-decade lead on deployment, but more like a five-decade lead on basic R&D, and there are probably some issues that need to be mastered before you can even try to deal with other issues.
I wouldn't put it that way. The general tech base Manticore has isn't ahead of what the League has - where you're taking that general tech base to include everything, not just military technology. What Manticore has is a hearty lead in taking theoretical possibilities and turning them into completed, deployed systems, and putting them together into well-designed units and well-considered and practiced tactics. Further behind the League/Manticore general tech base, Grayson and Haven have been working up similar skills.
There hasn't been any similar organ in the Solarian League for that. ONI's been a cheerleading service for centuries; Battle Fleet doesn't have to practice or think hard about actual fighting; the shipbuilding forces for the SLN are dinky just because they haven't needed the Fleet in centuries.
The League's SDF's haven't suffered the SLN's institutional arrogance, but they've felt even less pressure to so much as exist. I do think they're going to be in better positions, the best of them, to develop an innovative professional ethic and skill set, but that's not saying much.
The Alignment's had the knowledge of what's been coming, more than anyone else but a handful of clear-sighted individuals (Honor Alexander-Harrington, Thomas Theisman, a few people on Beowulf) and if they've got any genetic superiority chips on their shoulders, it's chump change compared to what the SLN's leadership has had. But for all their fingers in the shadows and ears on secrets, they haven't had the access to good ideas popping up anywhere in public that Manticore has had courtesy of the merchant marine full of reserve navy officers, nor the experience of turning ideas into hardware into practice that the RMN, GSN, and RHN have had and dealing with the other side doing that in response. I think they've got some theoretical idea of the use of that but that's not the same as a first-hand appreciation. And they've just misplaced one of their key students of modern warfare, Gail Weiss. (Bwhahahaha!) I'm not sure what they really had in mind to do with Leonard Detweilers other than Oyster Bay; they're fools if they think they can get away with that often; and they or their lackeys are likely to have too much use for a genuine wall of battle that they don't much have now that they're suffering some exposure.