I came to this thread late but I have a few quibbles with previous posters:-
First the guy who said Bedford Forrest's "Get there first with the most men" was out of date misses the point entirely. In Forrest's day, generally "most men" equated to strongest force which is what he is really saying.
Get there first with most force is still the basic operation tatic, strategy, grand strategy of any conflict, war, campaign, battle or skirmish.
Native talent is no substitute for experience, no matter who you are,
Umm.Really. I am sure the highly experienced and SUCCESSFUL Austrian generals in Italy up against a new upstart young French general named Napoleon would have agreed with you. Their replacements probably would have too. The generals who replaced them would have been too busy trying to keep Napoleon out of Vienna to comment.
I won't say the odds weren't heavily stacked in the North's favor, because they were. I strongly suspect, however, that the inevitability of the North's victory because of its industrial and manpower advantages has been substantially overstated and that to a very large extent this is, indeed, the product of historical hindsight.
This whole post was quite excellent.
It did not cover the key points clearly. The key points are the victory conditions. What was the North's victory conditions and what were the Souths?
Most people have a very poor understanding of 'victory conditions' as a concept from what I have seen over the wargames table/map/game board/computer screen and from the study of military history I have made over the the last 50 odd years.
Scheer at Jutland for instance. Tactical brilliance, stategic failure.
Any rationale mind looking at the overall sit rep in May, 1941 would have said the British were going down for good.
Um, did you mean 1940? By May 1941 the Germans had missed the bus, badly.
Churchill was more of a "oops i did it again" fumbler.
Churchill gets a bad rap. Considering he was in charge of one of the winners in WW2 this seems harsh. Much of goes back to WW1 and Gallipoli. A valid strategic idea spoilt by the incompetent British generals on the spot.
AS an Aussie ANZAC is close to the chest but Churchill was not to blame. The idiots commanding the invasion were. I am not saying it would have done what Churchill hoped but it had promise of knocking Turkey out of the war quickly. Huge gain for little loss. The casualties at Gallipoli were pretty tame compared to say the Somme or Verdun or Paschendale etc.