Topic Actions

Topic Search

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 35 guests

Honorverse Top Ten Tacticians, Strategists

Join us in talking discussing all things Honor, including (but not limited to) tactics, favorite characters, and book discussions.
Re: Honorverse Top Ten Tacticians, Strategists
Post by runsforcelery   » Tue May 06, 2014 7:07 am

runsforcelery
First Space Lord

Posts: 2425
Joined: Sun Aug 09, 2009 11:39 am
Location: South Carolina

kzt wrote:Hey, it worked PERFECTLY in the first test. :lol:


Yes, it did. And they went on testing it instead of rushing it into combat, right? And when they did . . . .

Although, in fairness to Hemphill, it was less a new weapon than a new and radical application of an existing one.


"Oh, bother!" said Pooh, as Piglet came back from the dead.
Top
Re: Honorverse Top Ten Tacticians, Strategists
Post by namelessfly   » Tue May 06, 2014 10:03 am

namelessfly

runsforcelery wrote:
kzt wrote:Hey, it worked PERFECTLY in the first test. :lol:


Yes, it did. And they went on testing it instead of rushing it into combat, right? And when they did . . . .

Although, in fairness to Hemphill, it was less a new weapon than a new and radical application of an existing one.



More importantly, Fearless was a preproduction testbed that was intended to allow operational commanders to evaluate it in simulations or limited combat before employing the system in major combat. When Fearless was exiled to Basilisk, it was expected that Honor would never be doing anything beyond customs inspections. Engaging a pirate so close to the wormhole was a remote possibility and a death ride against an over gunned Q-ship was unimaginable.
Top
Re: Honorverse Top Ten Tacticians, Strategists
Post by Spacekiwi   » Tue May 06, 2014 8:44 pm

Spacekiwi
Admiral

Posts: 2634
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2011 3:08 am
Location: New Zealand

Actually, as an weapon, it works fine. the problem that it had was requiring the replacement of more versatile weapons, and the tactics for its use being fringe case scenarios.

kzt wrote:Hey, it worked PERFECTLY in the first test. :lol:
`
Image


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
its not paranoia if its justified... :D
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Top
Re: Honorverse Top Ten Tacticians, Strategists
Post by phillies   » Tue May 06, 2014 9:04 pm

phillies
Admiral

Posts: 2077
Joined: Sat Jun 19, 2010 9:43 am
Location: Worcester, MA

Spacekiwi wrote:Actually, as an weapon, it works fine. the problem that it had was requiring the replacement of more versatile weapons, and the tactics for its use being fringe case scenarios.

kzt wrote:Hey, it worked PERFECTLY in the first test. :lol:


Don't worry. When tested, it will cause streak drives to blow up.
Top
Re: Honorverse Top Ten Tacticians, Strategists
Post by Lord Skimper   » Wed May 07, 2014 3:01 am

Lord Skimper
Vice Admiral

Posts: 1736
Joined: Wed Aug 07, 2013 12:49 am
Location: Calgary, Nova, Gryphon.

No Cachat, no Firebrand, no Detweiler?

As for weapons I still think a crippler should be installed in every commerce raiding ship. Let alone some kind of warshaski sail version.
________________________________________
Just don't ask what is in the protein bars.
Top
Re: Honorverse Top Ten Tacticians, Strategists
Post by Amaroq   » Wed May 07, 2014 4:04 pm

Amaroq
Captain of the List

Posts: 523
Joined: Sun Feb 09, 2014 4:39 pm
Location: Princess Anne, Maryland

kzt wrote:It's a blatantly BS argument to say that 8th would have been destroyed if it was in the position of 3rd. 8th would have taken damage, but they would have obliterated both RHN fleets. It is what the characters think internally, but it is simply objectively wrong.

First, 8th would have started firing at 2nd from effective Apollo range. Which is a LOT farther then 3rd's effective range. So 2nd can't really effectively return fire and is still outside of effective range of Sphinx.

Second, the damage per missile of 8th is vastly higher. Remember when just 3 Apollo SDs were killing a 5th fleet SD every salvo? An entire fleet of Apollo SDs would have crushed 5th. Literally, 6 salvos, would have destroyed or mission killed pretty much every single ship in 5th. It would take a bit longer to kill 2nd, but by the time 5th drops in all the missiles needed would have already been fired, so all of 8th fires on 5th.


I think calling the argument "blatant BS" is pretty strong. Admittedly, the main crux of the argument that 8th Fleet wouldn't have been as screwed as 3rd comes from a character's internal thoughts but that is the only source we have. And Honor's no slouch as a tactician herself so I would consider her a pretty fair judge of probable outcomes in that scenario.

Don't forget, that trap was specifically designed for 8th Fleet knowing they had the long-range targeting advantage. Kuzak happened to get caught because she was the first one through the Junction. No doubt, 8th Fleet would have done a lot of damage and it's not written in stone that Honor couldn't have taken out both Havenite fleets in that position. To me, there's enough wiggle room for either outcome to have resulted hence my defense of Kuzak.

Question: how many Apollo-capable SD(P)s did Honor have in 8th Fleet?
*~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~*
In War: Resolution. In Defeat: Defiance. In Victory: Magnanimity. In Peace: Goodwill.
Top
Re: Honorverse Top Ten Tacticians, Strategists
Post by kzt   » Wed May 07, 2014 5:24 pm

kzt
Fleet Admiral

Posts: 11351
Joined: Sun Jan 10, 2010 8:18 pm
Location: Albuquerque, NM

Amaroq wrote:Question: how many Apollo-capable SD(P)s did Honor have in 8th Fleet?

32. Which was enough to comfortable control a single salvo of 62,208 missiles, when 288 missiles appears to be able to kill a RHN SD(P).

Assuming that 8th fires at effective Apollo range 8th can start firing as soon as it emerges from hyper (which appears to be about 300,000 km OUTSIDE the RZ) instead of waiting. It takes about 8 minutes to reach the RZ, during which 8th can easily fire enough missiles to completely kill every ship in 2nd. So how do they even trap 8th anyhow? Does 5th hyper in while 8th is still outside the RZ, or does it wait until 2nd has been reduced to debris clouds?

Anyhow, back to firepower.

Assuming that, for some crazy reason, Harrington also decided to not stack pods and went to just double salvos 8th fleet kills 10+ RHN SD(P)s per 24 seconds. So in the time it took both 2nd and 5th to kill 9 of 3rds ships 8th would have killed 42 or so RHN SD(P)s. How long before 5th hypers out?

Worse, given a 24 second cycle time and a time of flight of over 6 minutes for the RHN that means 15 salvos are already launched before the first missile hits. And a single surviving KH-2 can control each salvo of that size. That's about 160 ships killed. At the rate of loss of 2 ships in 8th per salvo you run of RHN ships before you run out 8th fleet.
Top
Re: Honorverse Top Ten Tacticians, Strategists
Post by Howard T. Map-addict   » Thu May 08, 2014 5:02 pm

Howard T. Map-addict
Rear Admiral

Posts: 1392
Joined: Tue Aug 11, 2009 11:47 am
Location: Philadelphia, PA

IfIRecallCorrectly,
The Haven Plan was:
If the Manties show many new-type MDMs,
Then .... Surrender!
(After warning Chin to go home, of course.)

My fave Honorverse Fantasy is during the conversation
between Tourville and Honor when he becomes her captive,
when he *blames* her for not keeping her new weapon home
to defend Manticore from the *entirely* predictable
attack! ("Well, what else did you expect us to do, when
you showed a New Superweapon in very small numbers? Our
choices were surrender at once, or else try to attack
while you still had too few to win.")

Which returns us to The Thread Topic, by showing that
Theisman was still a better Strategist than Honor was.

HTM

kzt wrote:
Amaroq wrote:Question: how many Apollo-capable SD(P)s did Honor have in 8th Fleet?

32. Which was enough to comfortable control a single salvo of 62,208 missiles, when 288 missiles appears to be able to kill a RHN SD(P).

Assuming that 8th fires at effective Apollo range 8th can start firing as soon as it emerges from hyper (which appears to be about 300,000 km OUTSIDE the RZ) instead of waiting. It takes about 8 minutes to reach the RZ, during which 8th can easily fire enough missiles to completely kill every ship in 2nd. So how do they even trap 8th anyhow? Does 5th hyper in while 8th is still outside the RZ, or does it wait until 2nd has been reduced to debris clouds?

Anyhow, back to firepower.

Assuming that, for some crazy reason, Harrington also decided to not stack pods and went to just double salvos 8th fleet kills 10+ RHN SD(P)s per 24 seconds. So in the time it took both 2nd and 5th to kill 9 of 3rds ships 8th would have killed 42 or so RHN SD(P)s. How long before 5th hypers out?

Worse, given a 24 second cycle time and a time of flight of over 6 minutes for the RHN that means 15 salvos are already launched before the first missile hits. And a single surviving KH-2 can control each salvo of that size. That's about 160 ships killed. At the rate of loss of 2 ships in 8th per salvo you run of RHN ships before you run out 8th fleet.
Top
Re: Honorverse Top Ten Tacticians, Strategists
Post by Amaroq   » Thu May 08, 2014 8:32 pm

Amaroq
Captain of the List

Posts: 523
Joined: Sun Feb 09, 2014 4:39 pm
Location: Princess Anne, Maryland

kzt wrote:[
32. Which was enough to comfortable control a single salvo of 62,208 missiles, when 288 missiles appears to be able to kill a RHN SD(P).

Assuming that 8th fires at effective Apollo range 8th can start firing as soon as it emerges from hyper (which appears to be about 300,000 km OUTSIDE the RZ) instead of waiting. It takes about 8 minutes to reach the RZ, during which 8th can easily fire enough missiles to completely kill every ship in 2nd. So how do they even trap 8th anyhow? Does 5th hyper in while 8th is still outside the RZ, or does it wait until 2nd has been reduced to debris clouds?

Anyhow, back to firepower.

Assuming that, for some crazy reason, Harrington also decided to not stack pods and went to just double salvos 8th fleet kills 10+ RHN SD(P)s per 24 seconds. So in the time it took both 2nd and 5th to kill 9 of 3rds ships 8th would have killed 42 or so RHN SD(P)s. How long before 5th hypers out?

Worse, given a 24 second cycle time and a time of flight of over 6 minutes for the RHN that means 15 salvos are already launched before the first missile hits. And a single surviving KH-2 can control each salvo of that size. That's about 160 ships killed. At the rate of loss of 2 ships in 8th per salvo you run of RHN ships before you run out 8th fleet.


So , I guess it's safe to say that Theisman tried to design an ops plan to catch 8th Fleet if it came through the Junction but he underestimated how lethal Apollo could be? He did only have one battle's worth of data to go on after all. I suppose 300+ ships of the wall wasn't enough... :)
*~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~*
In War: Resolution. In Defeat: Defiance. In Victory: Magnanimity. In Peace: Goodwill.
Top
Re: Honorverse Top Ten Tacticians, Strategists
Post by Tenshinai   » Thu May 08, 2014 9:48 pm

Tenshinai
Admiral

Posts: 2893
Joined: Tue Nov 02, 2010 8:34 pm
Location: Sweden

Howard T. Map-addict wrote:IfIRecallCorrectly,
The Haven Plan was:
If the Manties show many new-type MDMs,
Then .... Surrender!
(After warning Chin to go home, of course.)

My fave Honorverse Fantasy is during the conversation
between Tourville and Honor when he becomes her captive,
when he *blames* her for not keeping her new weapon home
to defend Manticore from the *entirely* predictable
attack! ("Well, what else did you expect us to do, when
you showed a New Superweapon in very small numbers? Our
choices were surrender at once, or else try to attack
while you still had too few to win.")

Which returns us to The Thread Topic, by showing that
Theisman was still a better Strategist than Honor was.

HTM


That sounds about right. And he certainly is.

And i think KZT is gravely underestimating the ability for a workable ambush.
But an ambush can be a very dangerous thing for those laying it, if the other side predicts it.

Honor might have defeated the ambush if it had sprung on her instead, but her command would probably have been severely trashed in the process.
And chances are decent that she could have been squashed like a bug out of sheer overwhelming numbers.

So , I guess it's safe to say that Theisman tried to design an ops plan to catch 8th Fleet if it came through the Junction but he underestimated how lethal Apollo could be?


If Honor had been first out of the junction, she would have had no warning, the ambush would then have a far greater chance at being highly lethal.
Top

Return to Honorverse