cthia wrote:I love this thread.
But I have to admit that I am really surprised, ok gobsmacked, that Benjamin Detweiler said that the plan was off the rails. How can a centuries long conspiracy to take over the Galaxy be derailed by a few snafus?
He might have been exaggerating, but I don't think so. Yes, it's a figure of speech, but it's clear that the Plan was derailed and needs quite a lot of adjustment.
Unless the plan was close to the endgame, there would be plenty of time to initiate the contingencies. I got the impression throughout the books that there are many built-in contingencies. You don't call yourself Alphas and fail to build in contingencies. Galton was such a contingency.
I think it was close to the endgame. The two pieces of evidence we have for it are the Houdini operation, which ceased all operations on Mesa and therefore cut their ability to control Manpower, and what Benjamin sees in the mirror every morning: himself and his clone brothers. The LRPB allowed their quickening as clones of Albrecht because they were close to the endgame and the workload on Albrecht was increasing (whether the LRPB did that because Albrecht told them to do, or whether it was an independent decision is besides the point).
Another one I may include was the First Haven-Manticore War itself. There's a limit to how big the PRH would have been allowed to grow before balancing it against the SLN would have been difficult. A PRH that did absorb Manticore, got its infusion of cash, and then proceeded to conquer the Andermani, would have been quite a match to the SL. Not that the SL would agree, but they wouldn't left facts stand in the way of posturing.
This wasn't entirely under their control, but however tenuous that was, they would have influenced the Legislaturalists to delay attacking the Manticore Alliance by another decade. If necessary, they could have caused the PRH to alleviate their economic problems through other means.
The two wars were also snowballs going downslope that couldn't be stopped. Once they had started, the MAlign knew it had to come to its endgame because there was no turning back. Once the PRH took over Manticore, Beowulf was sure to take a stance and that would have started the Haven-Solarian War, whether the Alignment wanted it or not. And quite clearly, they did think it was time, because they initiated the operations with the Monica System, and prepositioning of both Byng, Crandall, and Filareta.
The RF is guaranteed to become the "capital system" because they will readily accept all of the technologies. I really don't see a reason for the Detweilers to worry.
I really see NO cause for concern EXCEPT being found before their technology hatches and matures.
That is one worry, but the RF is the other. Remember the Plan called for chaos in the Haven-Solarian War (later replaced by Manticore-Solarian War), in which they'd take an active part by feeding the flames. I suspect they'd also use the opportunity to cause a few Eridani Edict violations that depopulated certain "troublesome" worlds, especially those with large populations that couldn't be controlled -- all the Core systems, I expect. In the meantime, the RF would rise as the shining beacon of civilisation, around which all civilised peoples would aggregate, and accept its laws as right and just.
One of which would be genetic modifications. See other section of this thread.
But THAT is completely off the table now. Not only was there no huge chaos and depopulation, the RF is still only a minor player. Even excluding the big ones that were combatants, the Maya Sector Autonomous Region is coming ahead. I'd even bet that within a decade, the Madras sector neighbouring the SEM's Talbott Quadrant will be ahead too. There's no opportunity for sneaking genetic modifications under the table and subverting the Beowulf Code.
And the Enlightenment doing genetic modifications
above the table comes as another nail in the coffin.
Plus the war is over and the "Alignment is gone." There's no opportunity for chaos this decade because they've lost all the forces at Galton, while the forces at Darius aren't ready. The moment they come out of the shadows -- assuming the GA gives them time -- the memories of the Alignment come back again and there's no way to hide the fact. They'd have to engineer a war again between two superpowers, and there's no one who wants that to happen in the next decade or two. They have no control over any of the major superpowers of the Galaxy either.